Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has maintained a limited personal public profile since succeeding his father earlier in 2026, with official media accounts handling most commemorative and messaging duties. Recent activity centered on mid-August fortieth-day memorials for the slain Ali Khamenei, including shrine visits and statements, after which direct output from the leader’s channels has remained sparse. Ongoing US sanctions, regional tensions, and unverified health speculation have not prompted a visible increase in his posting frequency. Traders price a high probability of fewer than five posts during the August 21–28 window, consistent with his established pattern of restrained direct engagement on platforms amid institutional and diplomatic pressures. Late developments such as new sanctions or escalation signals could still alter activity levels before week’s end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
<5 91%
5-9 9%
10-14 1.3%
40-44 <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
<5
91%
5-9
9%
10-14
1%
15-19
<1%
20-24
<1%
25-29
<1%
30-34
<1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 91%
5-9 9%
10-14 1.3%
40-44 <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
<5
$2,497 Vol.
91%
5-9
$1,202 Vol.
9%
10-14
$557 Vol.
1%
15-19
$453 Vol.
<1%
20-24
$694 Vol.
<1%
25-29
$471 Vol.
<1%
30-34
$440 Vol.
<1%
35-39
$413 Vol.
<1%
40-44
$415 Vol.
1%
45-49
$415 Vol.
<1%
50-54
$415 Vol.
<1%
55-59
$415 Vol.
<1%
60+
$415 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has maintained a limited personal public profile since succeeding his father earlier in 2026, with official media accounts handling most commemorative and messaging duties. Recent activity centered on mid-August fortieth-day memorials for the slain Ali Khamenei, including shrine visits and statements, after which direct output from the leader’s channels has remained sparse. Ongoing US sanctions, regional tensions, and unverified health speculation have not prompted a visible increase in his posting frequency. Traders price a high probability of fewer than five posts during the August 21–28 window, consistent with his established pattern of restrained direct engagement on platforms amid institutional and diplomatic pressures. Late developments such as new sanctions or escalation signals could still alter activity levels before week’s end.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$8,804End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has maintained a limited personal public profile since succeeding his father earlier in 2026, with official media accounts handling most commemorative and messaging duties. Recent activity centered on mid-August fortieth-day memorials for the slain Ali Khamenei, including shrine visits and statements, after which direct output from the leader’s channels has remained sparse. Ongoing US sanctions, regional tensions, and unverified health speculation have not prompted a visible increase in his posting frequency. Traders price a high probability of fewer than five posts during the August 21–28 window, consistent with his established pattern of restrained direct engagement on platforms amid institutional and diplomatic pressures. Late developments such as new sanctions or escalation signals could still alter activity levels before week’s end.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$8,804End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has maintained a limited personal public profile since succeeding his father earlier in 2026, with official media accounts handling most commemorative and messaging duties. Recent activity centered on mid-August fortieth-day memorials for the slain Ali Khamenei, including shrine visits and statements, after which direct output from the leader’s channels has remained sparse. Ongoing US sanctions, regional tensions, and unverified health speculation have not prompted a visible increase in his posting frequency. Traders price a high probability of fewer than five posts during the August 21–28 window, consistent with his established pattern of restrained direct engagement on platforms amid institutional and diplomatic pressures. Late developments such as new sanctions or escalation signals could still alter activity levels before week’s end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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