Democratic House members not seeking re-election in 2026 total approximately 23–30 as of late August, depending on whether counts include those pursuing other offices, resignations, or pure retirements from public service. Ballotpedia and similar trackers list 23 Democrats among 60 total incumbents stepping aside, driven by factors such as Senate or gubernatorial bids by figures like Sherrill, Pappas, Stevens, Craig, and Krishnamoorthi, alongside long-serving members citing generational turnover. The 20–23 range leads because announcements have largely stabilized with minimal new developments in the prior 30 days, reflecting standard mid-cycle patterns where most decisions occur earlier amid institutional pressures and electoral math in the 119th Congress. Trader consensus aligns closely with these verified tallies, with limited room for further shifts before filing deadlines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated20–23 75.8%
24–27 18%
<20 5.8%
40+ 2.4%
$50,846 Vol.
$50,846 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
<20
6%
20–23
76%
24–27
15%
28–31
1%
32–35
1%
36–39
<1%
40+
2%
20–23 75.8%
24–27 18%
<20 5.8%
40+ 2.4%
$50,846 Vol.
$50,846 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
<20
$18,040 Vol.
6%
20–23
$12,328 Vol.
76%
24–27
$10,174 Vol.
15%
28–31
$2,206 Vol.
1%
32–35
$4,727 Vol.
1%
36–39
$1,496 Vol.
<1%
40+
$1,874 Vol.
2%
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Democratic House members not seeking re-election in 2026 total approximately 23–30 as of late August, depending on whether counts include those pursuing other offices, resignations, or pure retirements from public service. Ballotpedia and similar trackers list 23 Democrats among 60 total incumbents stepping aside, driven by factors such as Senate or gubernatorial bids by figures like Sherrill, Pappas, Stevens, Craig, and Krishnamoorthi, alongside long-serving members citing generational turnover. The 20–23 range leads because announcements have largely stabilized with minimal new developments in the prior 30 days, reflecting standard mid-cycle patterns where most decisions occur earlier amid institutional pressures and electoral math in the 119th Congress. Trader consensus aligns closely with these verified tallies, with limited room for further shifts before filing deadlines.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
Volume
$50,846End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Democratic House members not seeking re-election in 2026 total approximately 23–30 as of late August, depending on whether counts include those pursuing other offices, resignations, or pure retirements from public service. Ballotpedia and similar trackers list 23 Democrats among 60 total incumbents stepping aside, driven by factors such as Senate or gubernatorial bids by figures like Sherrill, Pappas, Stevens, Craig, and Krishnamoorthi, alongside long-serving members citing generational turnover. The 20–23 range leads because announcements have largely stabilized with minimal new developments in the prior 30 days, reflecting standard mid-cycle patterns where most decisions occur earlier amid institutional pressures and electoral math in the 119th Congress. Trader consensus aligns closely with these verified tallies, with limited room for further shifts before filing deadlines.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$50,846End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic House members not seeking re-election in 2026 total approximately 23–30 as of late August, depending on whether counts include those pursuing other offices, resignations, or pure retirements from public service. Ballotpedia and similar trackers list 23 Democrats among 60 total incumbents stepping aside, driven by factors such as Senate or gubernatorial bids by figures like Sherrill, Pappas, Stevens, Craig, and Krishnamoorthi, alongside long-serving members citing generational turnover. The 20–23 range leads because announcements have largely stabilized with minimal new developments in the prior 30 days, reflecting standard mid-cycle patterns where most decisions occur earlier amid institutional pressures and electoral math in the 119th Congress. Trader consensus aligns closely with these verified tallies, with limited room for further shifts before filing deadlines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions