**Trader consensus at 100% on 23°C reflects real-time observational data and model agreement confirming Warsaw’s daily maximum temperature on August 26, 2026.** High-pressure conditions with clear skies and light northeasterly winds maintained stable daytime heating, producing hourly readings that peaked at or near 23°C according to multiple weather station reports and GFS-based forecasts. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 21–23°C under similar synoptic setups. Uncertainties remain minimal because the day’s temperature curve is largely complete by evening, with minimal risk of further warming. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-afternoon surge from shifting winds or model revision, though current surface observations and pressure trends (around 1022 hPa) make such a shift improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 26?
23°C 100.0%
$26,428 Vol.
$26,428 Vol.
23°C
100%
23°C 100.0%
$26,428 Vol.
$26,428 Vol.
23°C
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader consensus at 100% on 23°C reflects real-time observational data and model agreement confirming Warsaw’s daily maximum temperature on August 26, 2026.** High-pressure conditions with clear skies and light northeasterly winds maintained stable daytime heating, producing hourly readings that peaked at or near 23°C according to multiple weather station reports and GFS-based forecasts. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 21–23°C under similar synoptic setups. Uncertainties remain minimal because the day’s temperature curve is largely complete by evening, with minimal risk of further warming. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-afternoon surge from shifting winds or model revision, though current surface observations and pressure trends (around 1022 hPa) make such a shift improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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