**The heavily Democratic composition of Georgia’s 13th congressional district, with a partisan lean exceeding D+20 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, drove trader expectations of an outright first-round majority.** Limited Republican participation and vote share further reduced the chance of any non-Democratic candidate reaching 50 percent. Prominent Democratic contenders, including the late incumbent’s daughter, were viewed as likely to consolidate sufficient support in the special election triggered by Rep. David Scott’s April 2026 passing. Vote fragmentation among multiple Democratic entrants ultimately prevented a first-round majority, resulting in an August 25 runoff. Realistic factors that could still shift outcomes include unusually low turnout, last-minute endorsements consolidating or further splitting Democratic support, or unforeseen legal or procedural developments affecting ballot access or certification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated94% chance
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
94% chance
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.**The heavily Democratic composition of Georgia’s 13th congressional district, with a partisan lean exceeding D+20 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, drove trader expectations of an outright first-round majority.** Limited Republican participation and vote share further reduced the chance of any non-Democratic candidate reaching 50 percent. Prominent Democratic contenders, including the late incumbent’s daughter, were viewed as likely to consolidate sufficient support in the special election triggered by Rep. David Scott’s April 2026 passing.
Vote fragmentation among multiple Democratic entrants ultimately prevented a first-round majority, resulting in an August 25 runoff. Realistic factors that could still shift outcomes include unusually low turnout, last-minute endorsements consolidating or further splitting Democratic support, or unforeseen legal or procedural developments affecting ballot access or certification.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Volume
$398End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.**The heavily Democratic composition of Georgia’s 13th congressional district, with a partisan lean exceeding D+20 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, drove trader expectations of an outright first-round majority.** Limited Republican participation and vote share further reduced the chance of any non-Democratic candidate reaching 50 percent. Prominent Democratic contenders, including the late incumbent’s daughter, were viewed as likely to consolidate sufficient support in the special election triggered by Rep. David Scott’s April 2026 passing.
Vote fragmentation among multiple Democratic entrants ultimately prevented a first-round majority, resulting in an August 25 runoff. Realistic factors that could still shift outcomes include unusually low turnout, last-minute endorsements consolidating or further splitting Democratic support, or unforeseen legal or procedural developments affecting ballot access or certification.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
Volume
$423End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**The heavily Democratic composition of Georgia’s 13th congressional district, with a partisan lean exceeding D+20 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, drove trader expectations of an outright first-round majority.** Limited Republican participation and vote share further reduced the chance of any non-Democratic candidate reaching 50 percent. Prominent Democratic contenders, including the late incumbent’s daughter, were viewed as likely to consolidate sufficient support in the special election triggered by Rep. David Scott’s April 2026 passing. Vote fragmentation among multiple Democratic entrants ultimately prevented a first-round majority, resulting in an August 25 runoff. Realistic factors that could still shift outcomes include unusually low turnout, last-minute endorsements consolidating or further splitting Democratic support, or unforeseen legal or procedural developments affecting ballot access or certification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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