The Pitt’s commanding 93% market-implied probability reflects its status as the clear frontrunner for the 2026 Outstanding Drama Series Emmy, driven by a league-leading 25 nominations—nearly double its debut haul—and momentum as the defending champion. The HBO Max medical drama expanded its acting, writing, and technical support this season while maintaining strong critical and guild buzz, positioning it as the consensus favorite among voters familiar with its consistent quality and broad appeal. With final-round voting now closed ahead of the September 14 ceremony, only an unprecedented late surge from a rival like Pluribus or a rare voter backlash against repeat success could realistically produce an upset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding drama series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series
“The Pitt” 93%
“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms” 2.7%
“Slow Horses” 2.6%
“Your Friends & Neighbors” 2.0%
$22,992 Vol.
$22,992 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
“The Pitt”
93%
“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms”
3%
“Slow Horses”
3%
“Your Friends & Neighbors”
2%
"The Diplomat"
2%
“The Gilded Age”
1%
“Paradise”
1%
“The Pitt” 93%
“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms” 2.7%
“Slow Horses” 2.6%
“Your Friends & Neighbors” 2.0%
$22,992 Vol.
$22,992 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
“The Pitt”
$16,708 Vol.
93%
“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms”
$662 Vol.
3%
“Slow Horses”
$2,136 Vol.
3%
“Your Friends & Neighbors”
$947 Vol.
2%
"The Diplomat"
$856 Vol.
2%
“The Gilded Age”
$831 Vol.
1%
“Paradise”
$851 Vol.
1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Pitt’s commanding 93% market-implied probability reflects its status as the clear frontrunner for the 2026 Outstanding Drama Series Emmy, driven by a league-leading 25 nominations—nearly double its debut haul—and momentum as the defending champion. The HBO Max medical drama expanded its acting, writing, and technical support this season while maintaining strong critical and guild buzz, positioning it as the consensus favorite among voters familiar with its consistent quality and broad appeal. With final-round voting now closed ahead of the September 14 ceremony, only an unprecedented late surge from a rival like Pluribus or a rare voter backlash against repeat success could realistically produce an upset.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:18 AM ET
Volume
$22,992End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Pitt’s commanding 93% market-implied probability reflects its status as the clear frontrunner for the 2026 Outstanding Drama Series Emmy, driven by a league-leading 25 nominations—nearly double its debut haul—and momentum as the defending champion. The HBO Max medical drama expanded its acting, writing, and technical support this season while maintaining strong critical and guild buzz, positioning it as the consensus favorite among voters familiar with its consistent quality and broad appeal. With final-round voting now closed ahead of the September 14 ceremony, only an unprecedented late surge from a rival like Pluribus or a rare voter backlash against repeat success could realistically produce an upset.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22,992End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pitt’s commanding 93% market-implied probability reflects its status as the clear frontrunner for the 2026 Outstanding Drama Series Emmy, driven by a league-leading 25 nominations—nearly double its debut haul—and momentum as the defending champion. The HBO Max medical drama expanded its acting, writing, and technical support this season while maintaining strong critical and guild buzz, positioning it as the consensus favorite among voters familiar with its consistent quality and broad appeal. With final-round voting now closed ahead of the September 14 ceremony, only an unprecedented late surge from a rival like Pluribus or a rare voter backlash against repeat success could realistically produce an upset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions