Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride seeks re-election in Delaware’s at-large House district, where all major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. McBride’s 2024 victory by double digits established a baseline that aligns with the state’s consistent Democratic performance in federal contests and its lack of competitive swing dynamics. Multiple Republican primary candidates have filed for the September 15 contest, yet none have shown statewide viability or fundraising parity. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors, including incumbency advantages and partisan lean, while acknowledging remote pathways for change such as a sharp national partisan shift or late-breaking personal or campaign developments that could alter turnout or perceptions before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDE-AL House Election Winner
DE-AL House Election Winner
$43,151 Vol.
$43,151 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$43,151 Vol.
$43,151 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,251 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$37,900 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride seeks re-election in Delaware’s at-large House district, where all major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. McBride’s 2024 victory by double digits established a baseline that aligns with the state’s consistent Democratic performance in federal contests and its lack of competitive swing dynamics. Multiple Republican primary candidates have filed for the September 15 contest, yet none have shown statewide viability or fundraising parity. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors, including incumbency advantages and partisan lean, while acknowledging remote pathways for change such as a sharp national partisan shift or late-breaking personal or campaign developments that could alter turnout or perceptions before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$43,151End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride seeks re-election in Delaware’s at-large House district, where all major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. McBride’s 2024 victory by double digits established a baseline that aligns with the state’s consistent Democratic performance in federal contests and its lack of competitive swing dynamics. Multiple Republican primary candidates have filed for the September 15 contest, yet none have shown statewide viability or fundraising parity. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors, including incumbency advantages and partisan lean, while acknowledging remote pathways for change such as a sharp national partisan shift or late-breaking personal or campaign developments that could alter turnout or perceptions before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$43,151End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride seeks re-election in Delaware’s at-large House district, where all major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. McBride’s 2024 victory by double digits established a baseline that aligns with the state’s consistent Democratic performance in federal contests and its lack of competitive swing dynamics. Multiple Republican primary candidates have filed for the September 15 contest, yet none have shown statewide viability or fundraising parity. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors, including incumbency advantages and partisan lean, while acknowledging remote pathways for change such as a sharp national partisan shift or late-breaking personal or campaign developments that could alter turnout or perceptions before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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