Cilia Flores remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following her January 2026 capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. She faces narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, with both defendants entering not guilty pleas and court proceedings continuing through mid-2026. Key factors shaping outcomes include ongoing pre-trial motions, the scheduled trial timeline extending into 2027, potential plea negotiations, diplomatic channels between the U.S. and Venezuelan authorities, and any executive actions or international agreements that could alter detention status. Trader assessments reflect uncertainty around these legal and geopolitical variables rather than any confirmed path to release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMaduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
$1,375,062 Vol.
Jan 30, 2026
December 31
15%
$1,375,062 Vol.
December 31
$328,460 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following her January 2026 capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. She faces narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, with both defendants entering not guilty pleas and court proceedings continuing through mid-2026. Key factors shaping outcomes include ongoing pre-trial motions, the scheduled trial timeline extending into 2027, potential plea negotiations, diplomatic channels between the U.S. and Venezuelan authorities, and any executive actions or international agreements that could alter detention status. Trader assessments reflect uncertainty around these legal and geopolitical variables rather than any confirmed path to release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Volume
$1,375,062End Date
Jan 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following her January 2026 capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. She faces narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, with both defendants entering not guilty pleas and court proceedings continuing through mid-2026. Key factors shaping outcomes include ongoing pre-trial motions, the scheduled trial timeline extending into 2027, potential plea negotiations, diplomatic channels between the U.S. and Venezuelan authorities, and any executive actions or international agreements that could alter detention status. Trader assessments reflect uncertainty around these legal and geopolitical variables rather than any confirmed path to release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,375,062End Date
Jan 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Cilia Flores remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following her January 2026 capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. She faces narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, with both defendants entering not guilty pleas and court proceedings continuing through mid-2026. Key factors shaping outcomes include ongoing pre-trial motions, the scheduled trial timeline extending into 2027, potential plea negotiations, diplomatic channels between the U.S. and Venezuelan authorities, and any executive actions or international agreements that could alter detention status. Trader assessments reflect uncertainty around these legal and geopolitical variables rather than any confirmed path to release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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