Alabama's 7th congressional district remains a majority-minority seat with a D+10 partisan voting index after 2026 redistricting adjustments that added Monroe, Conecuh, and Washington counties while shifting Lowndes County out. Incumbent Democrat Terri Sewell, first elected in 2010 and seeking a ninth term, faced no primary opposition and holds a strong base in the Black Belt region plus portions of Birmingham and Tuscaloosa. Republican nominee Ammie Akin secured her party's nomination in the August 11 special primary but confronts limited party infrastructure and historical Democratic margins exceeding 20 points. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAL-07 House Election Winner
AL-07 House Election Winner
$67,065 Vol.
$67,065 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$67,065 Vol.
$67,065 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$25,287 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$41,778 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 7th congressional district remains a majority-minority seat with a D+10 partisan voting index after 2026 redistricting adjustments that added Monroe, Conecuh, and Washington counties while shifting Lowndes County out. Incumbent Democrat Terri Sewell, first elected in 2010 and seeking a ninth term, faced no primary opposition and holds a strong base in the Black Belt region plus portions of Birmingham and Tuscaloosa. Republican nominee Ammie Akin secured her party's nomination in the August 11 special primary but confronts limited party infrastructure and historical Democratic margins exceeding 20 points. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$67,065End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 7th congressional district remains a majority-minority seat with a D+10 partisan voting index after 2026 redistricting adjustments that added Monroe, Conecuh, and Washington counties while shifting Lowndes County out. Incumbent Democrat Terri Sewell, first elected in 2010 and seeking a ninth term, faced no primary opposition and holds a strong base in the Black Belt region plus portions of Birmingham and Tuscaloosa. Republican nominee Ammie Akin secured her party's nomination in the August 11 special primary but confronts limited party infrastructure and historical Democratic margins exceeding 20 points. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$67,065End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 7th congressional district remains a majority-minority seat with a D+10 partisan voting index after 2026 redistricting adjustments that added Monroe, Conecuh, and Washington counties while shifting Lowndes County out. Incumbent Democrat Terri Sewell, first elected in 2010 and seeking a ninth term, faced no primary opposition and holds a strong base in the Black Belt region plus portions of Birmingham and Tuscaloosa. Republican nominee Ammie Akin secured her party's nomination in the August 11 special primary but confronts limited party infrastructure and historical Democratic margins exceeding 20 points. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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