Gold prices have surged above $4,650/oz in the week of August 24, 2026, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar and Treasury yields following the U.S. Treasury’s expansion of long-term bond buybacks to $4 billion per session. Fading expectations for a September Federal Reserve rate hike—after softer employment, retail sales, and inflation readings—have reduced the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion, while renewed Iran-related sanctions and energy price volatility have reinforced safe-haven flows. Central bank purchases, particularly from China, and ETF inflows continue to provide structural support. Key near-term catalysts include the July core PCE release on August 26 and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech on August 28, both of which could shift market-implied rate paths and USD dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$14,856 Vol.
↑ $4,950
8%
↑ $4,900
15%
↑ $4,850
25%
↑ $4,800
41%
↑ $4,750
64%
↑ $4,700
92%
↓ $4,550
27%
↓ $4,500
14%
↓ $4,450
10%
↓ $4,400
9%
↓ $4,350
4%
↓ $4,300
3%
$14,856 Vol.
↑ $4,950
8%
↑ $4,900
15%
↑ $4,850
25%
↑ $4,800
41%
↑ $4,750
64%
↑ $4,700
92%
↓ $4,550
27%
↓ $4,500
14%
↓ $4,450
10%
↓ $4,400
9%
↓ $4,350
4%
↓ $4,300
3%
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold prices have surged above $4,650/oz in the week of August 24, 2026, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar and Treasury yields following the U.S. Treasury’s expansion of long-term bond buybacks to $4 billion per session. Fading expectations for a September Federal Reserve rate hike—after softer employment, retail sales, and inflation readings—have reduced the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion, while renewed Iran-related sanctions and energy price volatility have reinforced safe-haven flows. Central bank purchases, particularly from China, and ETF inflows continue to provide structural support. Key near-term catalysts include the July core PCE release on August 26 and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech on August 28, both of which could shift market-implied rate paths and USD dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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