Oura's confidential May 2026 S-1 filing and the August 24 Bloomberg report signaling a potential September IPO at a valuation exceeding $16 billion—up from the $10.9–11 billion post-money Series E in late 2025—anchor trader sentiment around first-day closing market cap. Strong revenue scaling from roughly $500 million in 2024 toward $1.5–2 billion in 2026, alongside membership growth past five million, supports implied multiples near or above the prior private round. The closely matched probabilities across $15–20 billion+ bins reflect uncertainty over final pricing amid investor share sales, competitive pressure from Whoop and Samsung in wearables, and broader 2026 IPO window conditions. Resolution hinges on the actual debut timing and market reception before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$15B–$17.5B 14%
$20B+ 14%
$10B–$12.5B 14%
$17.5B–$20B 13%
$232,609 Vol.
$232,609 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$7.5B
8%
$7.5B–$10B
9%
$10B–$12.5B
14%
$12.5B–$15B
11%
$15B–$17.5B
14%
$17.5B–$20B
13%
$20B+
14%
No IPO before January 2027
11%
$15B–$17.5B 14%
$20B+ 14%
$10B–$12.5B 14%
$17.5B–$20B 13%
$232,609 Vol.
$232,609 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$7.5B
$34,445 Vol.
8%
$7.5B–$10B
$58,278 Vol.
9%
$10B–$12.5B
$22,387 Vol.
14%
$12.5B–$15B
$51,690 Vol.
11%
$15B–$17.5B
$17,387 Vol.
14%
$17.5B–$20B
$19,325 Vol.
13%
$20B+
$23,476 Vol.
14%
No IPO before January 2027
$5,622 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Oura's confidential May 2026 S-1 filing and the August 24 Bloomberg report signaling a potential September IPO at a valuation exceeding $16 billion—up from the $10.9–11 billion post-money Series E in late 2025—anchor trader sentiment around first-day closing market cap. Strong revenue scaling from roughly $500 million in 2024 toward $1.5–2 billion in 2026, alongside membership growth past five million, supports implied multiples near or above the prior private round. The closely matched probabilities across $15–20 billion+ bins reflect uncertainty over final pricing amid investor share sales, competitive pressure from Whoop and Samsung in wearables, and broader 2026 IPO window conditions. Resolution hinges on the actual debut timing and market reception before year-end.
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volume
$232,609End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Oura's confidential May 2026 S-1 filing and the August 24 Bloomberg report signaling a potential September IPO at a valuation exceeding $16 billion—up from the $10.9–11 billion post-money Series E in late 2025—anchor trader sentiment around first-day closing market cap. Strong revenue scaling from roughly $500 million in 2024 toward $1.5–2 billion in 2026, alongside membership growth past five million, supports implied multiples near or above the prior private round. The closely matched probabilities across $15–20 billion+ bins reflect uncertainty over final pricing amid investor share sales, competitive pressure from Whoop and Samsung in wearables, and broader 2026 IPO window conditions. Resolution hinges on the actual debut timing and market reception before year-end.
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$232,609End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Oura's confidential May 2026 S-1 filing and the August 24 Bloomberg report signaling a potential September IPO at a valuation exceeding $16 billion—up from the $10.9–11 billion post-money Series E in late 2025—anchor trader sentiment around first-day closing market cap. Strong revenue scaling from roughly $500 million in 2024 toward $1.5–2 billion in 2026, alongside membership growth past five million, supports implied multiples near or above the prior private round. The closely matched probabilities across $15–20 billion+ bins reflect uncertainty over final pricing amid investor share sales, competitive pressure from Whoop and Samsung in wearables, and broader 2026 IPO window conditions. Resolution hinges on the actual debut timing and market reception before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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