Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have enabled legislation aligned with administration priorities, limiting opportunities for vetoes through the remainder of 2026. Trump has issued only two vetoes since returning to office, both in December 2025 on narrow land and infrastructure measures that the House sustained in early 2026, with no additional vetoes recorded through August. Recent examples include the July 2026 bipartisan housing package, which became law without his signature after he declined to act rather than issue a formal veto amid disputes over linking it to the SAVE America Act. Traders assign a 66% probability to no veto this year because slim GOP edges, heavy reliance on executive orders, and pre-midterm dynamics favor negotiation or inaction over formal rejection of bills reaching his desk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated21% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
21% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have enabled legislation aligned with administration priorities, limiting opportunities for vetoes through the remainder of 2026. Trump has issued only two vetoes since returning to office, both in December 2025 on narrow land and infrastructure measures that the House sustained in early 2026, with no additional vetoes recorded through August.
Recent examples include the July 2026 bipartisan housing package, which became law without his signature after he declined to act rather than issue a formal veto amid disputes over linking it to the SAVE America Act. Traders assign a 66% probability to no veto this year because slim GOP edges, heavy reliance on executive orders, and pre-midterm dynamics favor negotiation or inaction over formal rejection of bills reaching his desk.
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
Volume
$5,304End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have enabled legislation aligned with administration priorities, limiting opportunities for vetoes through the remainder of 2026. Trump has issued only two vetoes since returning to office, both in December 2025 on narrow land and infrastructure measures that the House sustained in early 2026, with no additional vetoes recorded through August.
Recent examples include the July 2026 bipartisan housing package, which became law without his signature after he declined to act rather than issue a formal veto amid disputes over linking it to the SAVE America Act. Traders assign a 66% probability to no veto this year because slim GOP edges, heavy reliance on executive orders, and pre-midterm dynamics favor negotiation or inaction over formal rejection of bills reaching his desk.
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,304End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have enabled legislation aligned with administration priorities, limiting opportunities for vetoes through the remainder of 2026. Trump has issued only two vetoes since returning to office, both in December 2025 on narrow land and infrastructure measures that the House sustained in early 2026, with no additional vetoes recorded through August. Recent examples include the July 2026 bipartisan housing package, which became law without his signature after he declined to act rather than issue a formal veto amid disputes over linking it to the SAVE America Act. Traders assign a 66% probability to no veto this year because slim GOP edges, heavy reliance on executive orders, and pre-midterm dynamics favor negotiation or inaction over formal rejection of bills reaching his desk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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