**The current 84% trader consensus favoring “No” on a corporate rate cut before 2027 stems primarily from the July 2025 passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), which permanently extended most 2017 TCJA business provisions—including 100% bonus depreciation, restored R&D expensing, and interest deduction relief—but left the headline corporate rate unchanged at 21%.** Trump had proposed lowering it to 15% for domestic manufacturers, yet that provision was dropped amid deficit concerns and Senate negotiations that prioritized other relief items. As of mid-2026, no follow-on reconciliation vehicle or standalone rate-cut bill has advanced, and congressional attention has shifted to the September budget process and unrelated priorities. With only a narrow window remaining before 2027 and limited appetite for another major tax package that would further widen deficits, traders view an additional statutory rate reduction as improbable absent a sudden legislative breakthrough.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated14% chance
$16,010 Vol.
$16,010 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
14% chance
$16,010 Vol.
$16,010 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
**The current 84% trader consensus favoring “No” on a corporate rate cut before 2027 stems primarily from the July 2025 passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), which permanently extended most 2017 TCJA business provisions—including 100% bonus depreciation, restored R&D expensing, and interest deduction relief—but left the headline corporate rate unchanged at 21%.**
Trump had proposed lowering it to 15% for domestic manufacturers, yet that provision was dropped amid deficit concerns and Senate negotiations that prioritized other relief items. As of mid-2026, no follow-on reconciliation vehicle or standalone rate-cut bill has advanced, and congressional attention has shifted to the September budget process and unrelated priorities. With only a narrow window remaining before 2027 and limited appetite for another major tax package that would further widen deficits, traders view an additional statutory rate reduction as improbable absent a sudden legislative breakthrough.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
Volume
$16,010End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
**The current 84% trader consensus favoring “No” on a corporate rate cut before 2027 stems primarily from the July 2025 passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), which permanently extended most 2017 TCJA business provisions—including 100% bonus depreciation, restored R&D expensing, and interest deduction relief—but left the headline corporate rate unchanged at 21%.**
Trump had proposed lowering it to 15% for domestic manufacturers, yet that provision was dropped amid deficit concerns and Senate negotiations that prioritized other relief items. As of mid-2026, no follow-on reconciliation vehicle or standalone rate-cut bill has advanced, and congressional attention has shifted to the September budget process and unrelated priorities. With only a narrow window remaining before 2027 and limited appetite for another major tax package that would further widen deficits, traders view an additional statutory rate reduction as improbable absent a sudden legislative breakthrough.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Volume
$16,010End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**The current 84% trader consensus favoring “No” on a corporate rate cut before 2027 stems primarily from the July 2025 passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), which permanently extended most 2017 TCJA business provisions—including 100% bonus depreciation, restored R&D expensing, and interest deduction relief—but left the headline corporate rate unchanged at 21%.** Trump had proposed lowering it to 15% for domestic manufacturers, yet that provision was dropped amid deficit concerns and Senate negotiations that prioritized other relief items. As of mid-2026, no follow-on reconciliation vehicle or standalone rate-cut bill has advanced, and congressional attention has shifted to the September budget process and unrelated priorities. With only a narrow window remaining before 2027 and limited appetite for another major tax package that would further widen deficits, traders view an additional statutory rate reduction as improbable absent a sudden legislative breakthrough.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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