Trump's expected appointment of a successor to outgoing White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt has created a crowded field where trader consensus shows Scott Jennings as the narrow leader at 35%, followed closely by several other Trump-aligned communicators. Key drivers include Jennings' recent meetings with Chief of Staff Susie Wiles, his established media presence defending the president, and internal preferences for a combative loyalist who can manage the briefing room. The tight distribution across candidates like Anna Kelly, Matthew Boyle, and others reflects the absence of a definitive signal from Trump, ongoing deliberations among advisers, and the value placed on proven alignment with administration priorities. Any public endorsement, additional high-level interviews, or leaks from transition staff could quickly consolidate probabilities around one name ahead of an announcement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMatthew Boyle 36%
Scott Jennings 35.0%
Katie Miller 33%
Rachel Campos-Duffy 32%
$152,257 Vol.
$152,257 Vol.

Matthew Boyle
36%

Scott Jennings
35%

Katie Miller
33%

Rachel Campos-Duffy
32%

Spencer Pratt
32%

Lara Trump
32%

Anna Kelly
16%

Margo Martin
9%

Alina Habba
6%

Margo Martin
4%

Natalie Harp
3%

Liz Huston
3%

Taylor Rogers
3%

Lauren Bis
3%

Katie Zacharia
2%

Katie Pavlich
2%

Monica Crowley
1%

Pat Adams
1%

Kari Lake
1%

Tricia McLaughlin
1%

Ari Fleischer
1%

Harrison Fields
1%

Kush Desai
1%

Hogan Gidley
1%

Kayleigh McEnany
<1%

Kaelan Dorr
<1%
Matthew Boyle 36%
Scott Jennings 35.0%
Katie Miller 33%
Rachel Campos-Duffy 32%
$152,257 Vol.
$152,257 Vol.

Matthew Boyle
36%

Scott Jennings
35%

Katie Miller
33%

Rachel Campos-Duffy
32%

Spencer Pratt
32%

Lara Trump
32%

Anna Kelly
16%

Margo Martin
9%

Alina Habba
6%

Margo Martin
4%

Natalie Harp
3%

Liz Huston
3%

Taylor Rogers
3%

Lauren Bis
3%

Katie Zacharia
2%

Katie Pavlich
2%

Monica Crowley
1%

Pat Adams
1%

Kari Lake
1%

Tricia McLaughlin
1%

Ari Fleischer
1%

Harrison Fields
1%

Kush Desai
1%

Hogan Gidley
1%

Kayleigh McEnany
<1%

Kaelan Dorr
<1%
A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market.
In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market.
In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's expected appointment of a successor to outgoing White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt has created a crowded field where trader consensus shows Scott Jennings as the narrow leader at 35%, followed closely by several other Trump-aligned communicators. Key drivers include Jennings' recent meetings with Chief of Staff Susie Wiles, his established media presence defending the president, and internal preferences for a combative loyalist who can manage the briefing room. The tight distribution across candidates like Anna Kelly, Matthew Boyle, and others reflects the absence of a definitive signal from Trump, ongoing deliberations among advisers, and the value placed on proven alignment with administration priorities. Any public endorsement, additional high-level interviews, or leaks from transition staff could quickly consolidate probabilities around one name ahead of an announcement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions