Karoline Leavitt’s planned departure at the end of August 2026 has triggered a fluid internal contest for White House press secretary, with President Trump publicly floating names such as Scott Jennings and Margo Martin during recent travel without endorsing any contender. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, as no single candidate has consolidated support among administration allies, communications staff, or outside media figures. Potential factors include the deputy role held by Anna Kelly, the media profiles of Jennings and Matthew Boyle, and questions over timing, with reports indicating a possible delay until after the November midterms to assess institutional needs. Multiple overlapping candidacies and the absence of a formal shortlist have kept implied probabilities tightly clustered among leading options.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMatthew Boyle 36%
Scott Jennings 35.0%
Katie Miller 33%
Rachel Campos-Duffy 32%
$152,036 Vol.
$152,036 Vol.
Matthew Boyle
36%
Scott Jennings
35%
Katie Miller
33%
Rachel Campos-Duffy
32%
Spencer Pratt
32%
Lara Trump
32%
Anna Kelly
16%
Margo Martin
9%
Alina Habba
6%
Margo Martin
4%
Natalie Harp
3%
Liz Huston
3%
Taylor Rogers
3%
Lauren Bis
3%
Katie Zacharia
2%
Katie Pavlich
2%
Monica Crowley
1%
Pat Adams
1%
Kari Lake
1%
Tricia McLaughlin
1%
Ari Fleischer
1%
Harrison Fields
1%
Kush Desai
1%
Hogan Gidley
1%
Kayleigh McEnany
<1%
Kaelan Dorr
<1%
Matthew Boyle 36%
Scott Jennings 35.0%
Katie Miller 33%
Rachel Campos-Duffy 32%
$152,036 Vol.
$152,036 Vol.
Matthew Boyle
36%
Scott Jennings
35%
Katie Miller
33%
Rachel Campos-Duffy
32%
Spencer Pratt
32%
Lara Trump
32%
Anna Kelly
16%
Margo Martin
9%
Alina Habba
6%
Margo Martin
4%
Natalie Harp
3%
Liz Huston
3%
Taylor Rogers
3%
Lauren Bis
3%
Katie Zacharia
2%
Katie Pavlich
2%
Monica Crowley
1%
Pat Adams
1%
Kari Lake
1%
Tricia McLaughlin
1%
Ari Fleischer
1%
Harrison Fields
1%
Kush Desai
1%
Hogan Gidley
1%
Kayleigh McEnany
<1%
Kaelan Dorr
<1%
A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market.
In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market.
In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Karoline Leavitt’s planned departure at the end of August 2026 has triggered a fluid internal contest for White House press secretary, with President Trump publicly floating names such as Scott Jennings and Margo Martin during recent travel without endorsing any contender. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, as no single candidate has consolidated support among administration allies, communications staff, or outside media figures. Potential factors include the deputy role held by Anna Kelly, the media profiles of Jennings and Matthew Boyle, and questions over timing, with reports indicating a possible delay until after the November midterms to assess institutional needs. Multiple overlapping candidacies and the absence of a formal shortlist have kept implied probabilities tightly clustered among leading options.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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