US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled as of late August 2026, with the White House stating on August 27 that no active negotiations are underway and Washington has shifted emphasis to economic pressure on Tehran. An earlier June memorandum of understanding expired amid resumed hostilities and disagreements over sanctions relief, the Strait of Hormuz, and nuclear limits, while mediators from Qatar, Oman, and Pakistan continue back-channel efforts without confirmed bilateral senior-level meetings. Iranian officials have conditioned further talks on US adherence to prior commitments, and no formal rounds are scheduled before the August 31 cutoff. Trader consensus reflects these barriers, with all listed participants priced below 5 percent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$99,800 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
Rafael Grossi
2%
Abbas Araghchi
2%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
2%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
1%
Jared Kushner
1%
J.D. Vance
1%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
1%
Nick Stewart
1%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Marco Rubio
1%
Steve Witkoff
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Ishaq Dar
1%
Kazem Gharibabadi
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
$99,800 Vol.
Rafael Grossi
$959 Vol.
2%
Abbas Araghchi
$9,518 Vol.
2%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,750 Vol.
2%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$311 Vol.
1%
Jared Kushner
$14,881 Vol.
1%
J.D. Vance
$11,542 Vol.
1%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$3,405 Vol.
1%
Nick Stewart
$50 Vol.
1%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$12,325 Vol.
1%
Pete Hegseth
$2,632 Vol.
1%
Marco Rubio
$7,782 Vol.
1%
Steve Witkoff
$13,702 Vol.
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,828 Vol.
1%
Ishaq Dar
$2,930 Vol.
1%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,752 Vol.
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$1,440 Vol.
1%
Esmail Qaani
$1,033 Vol.
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,785 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$7,173 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled as of late August 2026, with the White House stating on August 27 that no active negotiations are underway and Washington has shifted emphasis to economic pressure on Tehran. An earlier June memorandum of understanding expired amid resumed hostilities and disagreements over sanctions relief, the Strait of Hormuz, and nuclear limits, while mediators from Qatar, Oman, and Pakistan continue back-channel efforts without confirmed bilateral senior-level meetings. Iranian officials have conditioned further talks on US adherence to prior commitments, and no formal rounds are scheduled before the August 31 cutoff. Trader consensus reflects these barriers, with all listed participants priced below 5 percent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Volume
$99,800End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled as of late August 2026, with the White House stating on August 27 that no active negotiations are underway and Washington has shifted emphasis to economic pressure on Tehran. An earlier June memorandum of understanding expired amid resumed hostilities and disagreements over sanctions relief, the Strait of Hormuz, and nuclear limits, while mediators from Qatar, Oman, and Pakistan continue back-channel efforts without confirmed bilateral senior-level meetings. Iranian officials have conditioned further talks on US adherence to prior commitments, and no formal rounds are scheduled before the August 31 cutoff. Trader consensus reflects these barriers, with all listed participants priced below 5 percent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$99,800End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled as of late August 2026, with the White House stating on August 27 that no active negotiations are underway and Washington has shifted emphasis to economic pressure on Tehran. An earlier June memorandum of understanding expired amid resumed hostilities and disagreements over sanctions relief, the Strait of Hormuz, and nuclear limits, while mediators from Qatar, Oman, and Pakistan continue back-channel efforts without confirmed bilateral senior-level meetings. Iranian officials have conditioned further talks on US adherence to prior commitments, and no formal rounds are scheduled before the August 31 cutoff. Trader consensus reflects these barriers, with all listed participants priced below 5 percent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions