**Recent US statements indicate no active US-Iran negotiations are underway as of August 27, 2026, with the White House emphasizing a shift to economic pressure rather than diplomacy.** President Trump’s administration has signaled that talks will not resume until Iran demonstrates willingness for what Washington views as meaningful engagement on issues including its nuclear program and the Strait of Hormuz. This follows the expiration of the roughly 60-day window tied to the June 2026 memorandum of understanding without a final accord. Qatari mediation remains the primary channel, with Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani visiting Tehran on August 27 to discuss regional issues and potential dialogue revival, alongside parallel efforts involving Oman on temporary shipping arrangements. Earlier rounds involved high-level US figures such as Vice President JD Vance, envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, and Iranian counterparts including parliamentary speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf, often hosted in Switzerland or Qatar, but those sessions have not produced confirmed follow-ups in the immediate term. With the August 31 deadline only days away, the absence of scheduled meetings or public invitations from either side points to low probability of direct attendance in the resolution window. Any last-minute mediated session would likely require rapid de-escalation signals or breakthroughs on Hormuz navigation and sanctions relief, factors that have repeatedly stalled prior rounds amid mutual accusations and competing priorities. Trader consensus appears shaped by these verified procedural and diplomatic barriers rather than optimistic assumptions about eleventh-hour progress.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$98,038 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
Abbas Araghchi
2%
Ishaq Dar
2%
Jared Kushner
2%
J.D. Vance
2%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
2%
Rafael Grossi
2%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
2%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
2%
Kazem Gharibabadi
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Marco Rubio
1%
Steve Witkoff
1%
Nick Stewart
1%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Esmail Qaani
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
$98,038 Vol.
Abbas Araghchi
$9,311 Vol.
2%
Ishaq Dar
$2,920 Vol.
2%
Jared Kushner
$14,151 Vol.
2%
J.D. Vance
$11,267 Vol.
2%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,750 Vol.
2%
Rafael Grossi
$959 Vol.
2%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$12,312 Vol.
2%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$311 Vol.
2%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,752 Vol.
1%
Pete Hegseth
$2,632 Vol.
1%
Marco Rubio
$7,782 Vol.
1%
Steve Witkoff
$13,702 Vol.
1%
Nick Stewart
$50 Vol.
1%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$3,405 Vol.
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,782 Vol.
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,772 Vol.
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$1,146 Vol.
1%
Esmail Qaani
$863 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$7,171 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Recent US statements indicate no active US-Iran negotiations are underway as of August 27, 2026, with the White House emphasizing a shift to economic pressure rather than diplomacy.** President Trump’s administration has signaled that talks will not resume until Iran demonstrates willingness for what Washington views as meaningful engagement on issues including its nuclear program and the Strait of Hormuz. This follows the expiration of the roughly 60-day window tied to the June 2026 memorandum of understanding without a final accord.
Qatari mediation remains the primary channel, with Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani visiting Tehran on August 27 to discuss regional issues and potential dialogue revival, alongside parallel efforts involving Oman on temporary shipping arrangements. Earlier rounds involved high-level US figures such as Vice President JD Vance, envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, and Iranian counterparts including parliamentary speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf, often hosted in Switzerland or Qatar, but those sessions have not produced confirmed follow-ups in the immediate term.
With the August 31 deadline only days away, the absence of scheduled meetings or public invitations from either side points to low probability of direct attendance in the resolution window. Any last-minute mediated session would likely require rapid de-escalation signals or breakthroughs on Hormuz navigation and sanctions relief, factors that have repeatedly stalled prior rounds amid mutual accusations and competing priorities. Trader consensus appears shaped by these verified procedural and diplomatic barriers rather than optimistic assumptions about eleventh-hour progress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Volume
$98,038End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Recent US statements indicate no active US-Iran negotiations are underway as of August 27, 2026, with the White House emphasizing a shift to economic pressure rather than diplomacy.** President Trump’s administration has signaled that talks will not resume until Iran demonstrates willingness for what Washington views as meaningful engagement on issues including its nuclear program and the Strait of Hormuz. This follows the expiration of the roughly 60-day window tied to the June 2026 memorandum of understanding without a final accord.
Qatari mediation remains the primary channel, with Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani visiting Tehran on August 27 to discuss regional issues and potential dialogue revival, alongside parallel efforts involving Oman on temporary shipping arrangements. Earlier rounds involved high-level US figures such as Vice President JD Vance, envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, and Iranian counterparts including parliamentary speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf, often hosted in Switzerland or Qatar, but those sessions have not produced confirmed follow-ups in the immediate term.
With the August 31 deadline only days away, the absence of scheduled meetings or public invitations from either side points to low probability of direct attendance in the resolution window. Any last-minute mediated session would likely require rapid de-escalation signals or breakthroughs on Hormuz navigation and sanctions relief, factors that have repeatedly stalled prior rounds amid mutual accusations and competing priorities. Trader consensus appears shaped by these verified procedural and diplomatic barriers rather than optimistic assumptions about eleventh-hour progress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$98,038End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent US statements indicate no active US-Iran negotiations are underway as of August 27, 2026, with the White House emphasizing a shift to economic pressure rather than diplomacy.** President Trump’s administration has signaled that talks will not resume until Iran demonstrates willingness for what Washington views as meaningful engagement on issues including its nuclear program and the Strait of Hormuz. This follows the expiration of the roughly 60-day window tied to the June 2026 memorandum of understanding without a final accord. Qatari mediation remains the primary channel, with Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani visiting Tehran on August 27 to discuss regional issues and potential dialogue revival, alongside parallel efforts involving Oman on temporary shipping arrangements. Earlier rounds involved high-level US figures such as Vice President JD Vance, envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, and Iranian counterparts including parliamentary speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf, often hosted in Switzerland or Qatar, but those sessions have not produced confirmed follow-ups in the immediate term. With the August 31 deadline only days away, the absence of scheduled meetings or public invitations from either side points to low probability of direct attendance in the resolution window. Any last-minute mediated session would likely require rapid de-escalation signals or breakthroughs on Hormuz navigation and sanctions relief, factors that have repeatedly stalled prior rounds amid mutual accusations and competing priorities. Trader consensus appears shaped by these verified procedural and diplomatic barriers rather than optimistic assumptions about eleventh-hour progress.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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