Recent increases in DC Metro housing inventory, driven by federal workforce reductions of roughly 60,000 positions and broader employment uncertainty, have extended days on market and softened demand, anchoring trader consensus near the $512K–$524K range. Mortgage rates near 6.5% continue to constrain affordability, while national existing-home data show modest price gains amid 4.6 months of supply. The closely matched 32.1% and 28.0% probabilities on the two central buckets reflect ongoing debate over whether September seasonal stabilization or further listing pressure will dominate the final reading, with limited weight on higher or lower tails indicating contained near-term volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
$518K - $524K 31.5%
$512K - $518K 28.3%
<$512K 11.6%
$524K - $530K 10.8%
$44,333 Vol.
$44,333 Vol.
Sep 29, 2026
<$512K
12%
$512K - $518K
28%
$518K - $524K
32%
$524K - $530K
11%
$530K - $536K
4%
$536K - $542K
4%
$542K+
3%
$518K - $524K 31.5%
$512K - $518K 28.3%
<$512K 11.6%
$524K - $530K 10.8%
$44,333 Vol.
$44,333 Vol.
Sep 29, 2026
<$512K
$1,150 Vol.
12%
$512K - $518K
$6,914 Vol.
28%
$518K - $524K
$14,699 Vol.
32%
$524K - $530K
$4,864 Vol.
11%
$530K - $536K
$4,296 Vol.
4%
$536K - $542K
$7,992 Vol.
4%
$542K+
$4,418 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Recent increases in DC Metro housing inventory, driven by federal workforce reductions of roughly 60,000 positions and broader employment uncertainty, have extended days on market and softened demand, anchoring trader consensus near the $512K–$524K range. Mortgage rates near 6.5% continue to constrain affordability, while national existing-home data show modest price gains amid 4.6 months of supply. The closely matched 32.1% and 28.0% probabilities on the two central buckets reflect ongoing debate over whether September seasonal stabilization or further listing pressure will dominate the final reading, with limited weight on higher or lower tails indicating contained near-term volatility.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Volume
$44,333End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Recent increases in DC Metro housing inventory, driven by federal workforce reductions of roughly 60,000 positions and broader employment uncertainty, have extended days on market and softened demand, anchoring trader consensus near the $512K–$524K range. Mortgage rates near 6.5% continue to constrain affordability, while national existing-home data show modest price gains amid 4.6 months of supply. The closely matched 32.1% and 28.0% probabilities on the two central buckets reflect ongoing debate over whether September seasonal stabilization or further listing pressure will dominate the final reading, with limited weight on higher or lower tails indicating contained near-term volatility.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Volume
$44,333End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent increases in DC Metro housing inventory, driven by federal workforce reductions of roughly 60,000 positions and broader employment uncertainty, have extended days on market and softened demand, anchoring trader consensus near the $512K–$524K range. Mortgage rates near 6.5% continue to constrain affordability, while national existing-home data show modest price gains amid 4.6 months of supply. The closely matched 32.1% and 28.0% probabilities on the two central buckets reflect ongoing debate over whether September seasonal stabilization or further listing pressure will dominate the final reading, with limited weight on higher or lower tails indicating contained near-term volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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