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Economy·Real Estate

What will the median home value in Miami be on September 30?

icon for What will the median home value in Miami be on September 30?
Economy·Real Estate

What will the median home value in Miami be on September 30?

Sep 30

Sep 30

$1.089M - $1.125M 43%

$1.053M - $1.089M 25%

$1.196M+ 15.5%

$1.125M - $1.161M 10.0%

Polymarket

$63,575 Vol.

$1.089M - $1.125M 43%

$1.053M - $1.089M 25%

$1.196M+ 15.5%

$1.125M - $1.161M 10.0%

Polymarket

$63,575 Vol.

<$1.017M

$1,671 Vol.

2%

$1.017M - $1.053M

$3,151 Vol.

5%

$1.053M - $1.089M

$9,540 Vol.

25%

$1.089M - $1.125M

$32,071 Vol.

43%

$1.125M - $1.161M

$13,552 Vol.

10%

$1.161M - $1.196M

$1,626 Vol.

2%

$1.196M+

$1,965 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)**Miami home values have shown a clear cooling trend into late summer 2026, with Parcl’s median index hovering near $1.10 million after peaking above $1.22 million in March.** This places the market squarely in the $1.089–1.125 million band that currently commands 43% implied probability. Recent July–August data reveal flat-to-downward price pressure, including Zillow ZHVI near $584k (broader measure) and Redfin single-family indices up modestly year-over-year but with monthly declines in some Miami readings, alongside rising days-on-market and price reductions that signal softer demand. Elevated luxury and cash-buyer activity has supported higher-end sales, yet overall inventory dynamics and buyer-market conditions in condos have limited further upside. With only weeks until the September 30 resolution, traders are weighting the recent $1.10 million level and limited remaining catalysts, producing tight clustering around the $1.053–1.125 million range while assigning lower odds to sharp rebounds above $1.196 million.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)
Volume
$63,575
End Date
Sep 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)**Miami home values have shown a clear cooling trend into late summer 2026, with Parcl’s median index hovering near $1.10 million after peaking above $1.22 million in March.** This places the market squarely in the $1.089–1.125 million band that currently commands 43% implied probability. Recent July–August data reveal flat-to-downward price pressure, including Zillow ZHVI near $584k (broader measure) and Redfin single-family indices up modestly year-over-year but with monthly declines in some Miami readings, alongside rising days-on-market and price reductions that signal softer demand. Elevated luxury and cash-buyer activity has supported higher-end sales, yet overall inventory dynamics and buyer-market conditions in condos have limited further upside. With only weeks until the September 30 resolution, traders are weighting the recent $1.10 million level and limited remaining catalysts, producing tight clustering around the $1.053–1.125 million range while assigning lower odds to sharp rebounds above $1.196 million.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)
Volume
$63,575
End Date
Sep 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will the median home value in Miami be on September 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$1.089M - $1.125M" at 43%, followed by "$1.053M - $1.089M" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will the median home value in Miami be on September 30?" has generated $63.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will the median home value in Miami be on September 30?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will the median home value in Miami be on September 30?" is "$1.089M - $1.125M" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$1.053M - $1.089M" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will the median home value in Miami be on September 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.