Persistent low housing inventory and limited new construction in the Chicago metro area continue to underpin upward pressure on home values, with Zillow’s Home Value Index reaching $337,993 in July 2026 and posting a 4.5% year-over-year gain amid the nation’s fastest appreciation among major markets. Recent July median sale prices of $393,000–$407,000 further reflect tight supply, as active listings fell sharply year-over-year and buyer competition remains elevated. Trader consensus clusters around the $335K–$345K range, reflecting the balance between ongoing supply-driven gains and seasonal moderation typical into September. Key upcoming data, including September economic releases and any shifts in mortgage rates or local employment, could influence final positioning before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$335K - $340K 37%
$340K - $345K 32%
$345K+ 15%
$330K - $335K 12.6%
$83,127 Vol.
$83,127 Vol.
Sep 29, 2026
<$320K
1%
$320K - $325K
1%
$325K - $330K
3%
$330K - $335K
13%
$335K - $340K
37%
$340K - $345K
32%
$345K+
15%
$335K - $340K 37%
$340K - $345K 32%
$345K+ 15%
$330K - $335K 12.6%
$83,127 Vol.
$83,127 Vol.
Sep 29, 2026
<$320K
$2,455 Vol.
1%
$320K - $325K
$2,335 Vol.
1%
$325K - $330K
$3,039 Vol.
3%
$330K - $335K
$7,534 Vol.
13%
$335K - $340K
$16,073 Vol.
37%
$340K - $345K
$20,864 Vol.
32%
$345K+
$30,827 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)Persistent low housing inventory and limited new construction in the Chicago metro area continue to underpin upward pressure on home values, with Zillow’s Home Value Index reaching $337,993 in July 2026 and posting a 4.5% year-over-year gain amid the nation’s fastest appreciation among major markets. Recent July median sale prices of $393,000–$407,000 further reflect tight supply, as active listings fell sharply year-over-year and buyer competition remains elevated. Trader consensus clusters around the $335K–$345K range, reflecting the balance between ongoing supply-driven gains and seasonal moderation typical into September. Key upcoming data, including September economic releases and any shifts in mortgage rates or local employment, could influence final positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Volume
$83,127End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)Persistent low housing inventory and limited new construction in the Chicago metro area continue to underpin upward pressure on home values, with Zillow’s Home Value Index reaching $337,993 in July 2026 and posting a 4.5% year-over-year gain amid the nation’s fastest appreciation among major markets. Recent July median sale prices of $393,000–$407,000 further reflect tight supply, as active listings fell sharply year-over-year and buyer competition remains elevated. Trader consensus clusters around the $335K–$345K range, reflecting the balance between ongoing supply-driven gains and seasonal moderation typical into September. Key upcoming data, including September economic releases and any shifts in mortgage rates or local employment, could influence final positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
Volume
$83,127End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent low housing inventory and limited new construction in the Chicago metro area continue to underpin upward pressure on home values, with Zillow’s Home Value Index reaching $337,993 in July 2026 and posting a 4.5% year-over-year gain amid the nation’s fastest appreciation among major markets. Recent July median sale prices of $393,000–$407,000 further reflect tight supply, as active listings fell sharply year-over-year and buyer competition remains elevated. Trader consensus clusters around the $335K–$345K range, reflecting the balance between ongoing supply-driven gains and seasonal moderation typical into September. Key upcoming data, including September economic releases and any shifts in mortgage rates or local employment, could influence final positioning before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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