President Donald Trump has continued an existing national emergency originally declared in 2018 regarding foreign interference in U.S. elections, most recently extending it in August 2025. In July 2026 he delivered a prime-time address releasing declassified intelligence on alleged vulnerabilities and foreign activities, particularly involving China, while administration allies including Steve Bannon have publicly urged a new declaration to expand federal authority ahead of the November midterms. No such formal declaration under the National Emergencies Act has occurred despite earlier draft proposals and ambiguous public comments from Trump. Traders price the probability of a qualifying action by December 31, 2026, at roughly one-quarter, reflecting the absence of implementation, constitutional limits on federal election control, ongoing court challenges to related executive actions, and the political risks of intervening in state-administered voting processes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$189,189 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
22%
$189,189 Vol.
December 31
$186,436 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency, pursuant to the National Emergencies Act, explicitly relating to interference in U.S. elections or election processes, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). The declaration must explicitly reference interference in U.S. elections, election processes, election systems, voting procedures, ballots, or voting machines as the basis for the emergency. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that merely reference election interference without declaring a national emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to election interference.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency, pursuant to the National Emergencies Act, explicitly relating to interference in U.S. elections or election processes, by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). The declaration must explicitly reference interference in U.S. elections, election processes, election systems, voting procedures, ballots, or voting machines as the basis for the emergency. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that merely reference election interference without declaring a national emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to election interference.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump has continued an existing national emergency originally declared in 2018 regarding foreign interference in U.S. elections, most recently extending it in August 2025. In July 2026 he delivered a prime-time address releasing declassified intelligence on alleged vulnerabilities and foreign activities, particularly involving China, while administration allies including Steve Bannon have publicly urged a new declaration to expand federal authority ahead of the November midterms. No such formal declaration under the National Emergencies Act has occurred despite earlier draft proposals and ambiguous public comments from Trump. Traders price the probability of a qualifying action by December 31, 2026, at roughly one-quarter, reflecting the absence of implementation, constitutional limits on federal election control, ongoing court challenges to related executive actions, and the political risks of intervening in state-administered voting processes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency, pursuant to the National Emergencies Act, explicitly relating to interference in U.S. elections or election processes, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). The declaration must explicitly reference interference in U.S. elections, election processes, election systems, voting procedures, ballots, or voting machines as the basis for the emergency. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that merely reference election interference without declaring a national emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to election interference.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). The declaration must explicitly reference interference in U.S. elections, election processes, election systems, voting procedures, ballots, or voting machines as the basis for the emergency. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that merely reference election interference without declaring a national emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to election interference.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 26, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
Volume
$189,189End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Feb 26, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency, pursuant to the National Emergencies Act, explicitly relating to interference in U.S. elections or election processes, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). The declaration must explicitly reference interference in U.S. elections, election processes, election systems, voting procedures, ballots, or voting machines as the basis for the emergency. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that merely reference election interference without declaring a national emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to election interference.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency, pursuant to the National Emergencies Act, explicitly relating to interference in U.S. elections or election processes, by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). The declaration must explicitly reference interference in U.S. elections, election processes, election systems, voting procedures, ballots, or voting machines as the basis for the emergency. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that merely reference election interference without declaring a national emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to election interference.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump has continued an existing national emergency originally declared in 2018 regarding foreign interference in U.S. elections, most recently extending it in August 2025. In July 2026 he delivered a prime-time address releasing declassified intelligence on alleged vulnerabilities and foreign activities, particularly involving China, while administration allies including Steve Bannon have publicly urged a new declaration to expand federal authority ahead of the November midterms. No such formal declaration under the National Emergencies Act has occurred despite earlier draft proposals and ambiguous public comments from Trump. Traders price the probability of a qualifying action by December 31, 2026, at roughly one-quarter, reflecting the absence of implementation, constitutional limits on federal election control, ongoing court challenges to related executive actions, and the political risks of intervening in state-administered voting processes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency, pursuant to the National Emergencies Act, explicitly relating to interference in U.S. elections or election processes, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). The declaration must explicitly reference interference in U.S. elections, election processes, election systems, voting procedures, ballots, or voting machines as the basis for the emergency. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that merely reference election interference without declaring a national emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to election interference.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). The declaration must explicitly reference interference in U.S. elections, election processes, election systems, voting procedures, ballots, or voting machines as the basis for the emergency. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that merely reference election interference without declaring a national emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to election interference.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$189,189End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Feb 26, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump has continued an existing national emergency originally declared in 2018 regarding foreign interference in U.S. elections, most recently extending it in August 2025. In July 2026 he delivered a prime-time address releasing declassified intelligence on alleged vulnerabilities and foreign activities, particularly involving China, while administration allies including Steve Bannon have publicly urged a new declaration to expand federal authority ahead of the November midterms. No such formal declaration under the National Emergencies Act has occurred despite earlier draft proposals and ambiguous public comments from Trump. Traders price the probability of a qualifying action by December 31, 2026, at roughly one-quarter, reflecting the absence of implementation, constitutional limits on federal election control, ongoing court challenges to related executive actions, and the political risks of intervening in state-administered voting processes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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