Recent August polling from firms including Novus, Verian, and Demoskop shows the Christian Democrats, Greens, Left Party, and Centre Party clustered tightly between roughly 6% and 8%, placing them in direct contention for sixth place while larger parties like the Social Democrats and Sweden Democrats remain well ahead and smaller ones like the Liberals sit near or below the 4% threshold. This narrow band, combined with typical late-campaign volatility in smaller-party support and the proximity of the September 13 election, keeps implied probabilities distributed across those four contenders in the current market. Any final-week shifts in turnout among undecided voters or targeted campaign focus on issues such as climate policy, welfare, or regional concerns could separate the group before votes are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSweden Parliamentary Election: 6th Place
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 6th Place
Christian Democrats (KD) 28%
Green Party (MP) 25%
Centre Party (C) 23%
Left Party (V) 23%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
Christian Democrats (KD)
28%
Green Party (MP)
25%
Centre Party (C)
23%
Left Party (V)
23%
Liberals (L)
4%
Moderate Party (M)
4%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
4%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
3%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
3%
Christian Democrats (KD) 28%
Green Party (MP) 25%
Centre Party (C) 23%
Left Party (V) 23%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
Christian Democrats (KD)
$130 Vol.
28%
Green Party (MP)
$100 Vol.
25%
Centre Party (C)
$492 Vol.
23%
Left Party (V)
$130 Vol.
23%
Liberals (L)
$299 Vol.
4%
Moderate Party (M)
$190 Vol.
4%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$107 Vol.
4%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$119 Vol.
3%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$107 Vol.
3%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent August polling from firms including Novus, Verian, and Demoskop shows the Christian Democrats, Greens, Left Party, and Centre Party clustered tightly between roughly 6% and 8%, placing them in direct contention for sixth place while larger parties like the Social Democrats and Sweden Democrats remain well ahead and smaller ones like the Liberals sit near or below the 4% threshold. This narrow band, combined with typical late-campaign volatility in smaller-party support and the proximity of the September 13 election, keeps implied probabilities distributed across those four contenders in the current market. Any final-week shifts in turnout among undecided voters or targeted campaign focus on issues such as climate policy, welfare, or regional concerns could separate the group before votes are cast.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 5:07 AM ET
Volume
$1,673End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent August polling from firms including Novus, Verian, and Demoskop shows the Christian Democrats, Greens, Left Party, and Centre Party clustered tightly between roughly 6% and 8%, placing them in direct contention for sixth place while larger parties like the Social Democrats and Sweden Democrats remain well ahead and smaller ones like the Liberals sit near or below the 4% threshold. This narrow band, combined with typical late-campaign volatility in smaller-party support and the proximity of the September 13 election, keeps implied probabilities distributed across those four contenders in the current market. Any final-week shifts in turnout among undecided voters or targeted campaign focus on issues such as climate policy, welfare, or regional concerns could separate the group before votes are cast.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$1,673End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August polling from firms including Novus, Verian, and Demoskop shows the Christian Democrats, Greens, Left Party, and Centre Party clustered tightly between roughly 6% and 8%, placing them in direct contention for sixth place while larger parties like the Social Democrats and Sweden Democrats remain well ahead and smaller ones like the Liberals sit near or below the 4% threshold. This narrow band, combined with typical late-campaign volatility in smaller-party support and the proximity of the September 13 election, keeps implied probabilities distributed across those four contenders in the current market. Any final-week shifts in turnout among undecided voters or targeted campaign focus on issues such as climate policy, welfare, or regional concerns could separate the group before votes are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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