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icon for Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
Politics·Sweden

Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place

icon for Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
Politics·Sweden

Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place

Green Party (MP) 31%

Left Party (V) 25%

Centre Party (C) 24%

Christian Democrats (KD) 17%

Polymarket

$13,473 Vol.

Green Party (MP) 31%

Left Party (V) 25%

Centre Party (C) 24%

Christian Democrats (KD) 17%

Polymarket

$13,473 Vol.

icon for Green Party (MP)

Green Party (MP)

$2,325 Vol.

31%

icon for Left Party (V)

Left Party (V)

$2,441 Vol.

25%

icon for Centre Party (C)

Centre Party (C)

$2,499 Vol.

24%

icon for Christian Democrats (KD)

Christian Democrats (KD)

$2,322 Vol.

17%

icon for Moderate Party (M)

Moderate Party (M)

$1,121 Vol.

<1%

icon for Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$967 Vol.

<1%

icon for Liberals (L)

Liberals (L)

$556 Vol.

<1%

icon for Citizens' Coalition (MED)

Citizens' Coalition (MED)

$597 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sweden Democrats (SD)

Sweden Democrats (SD)

$646 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).**Recent Swedish polling shows the Social Democrats (S) leading at around 30-31%, followed by the Sweden Democrats (SD) near 19% and the Moderates (M) at 17-18%, locking the top three spots ahead of the September 13 election.** This leaves fifth place contested among the next tier of parties—primarily the Left Party (V), Greens (MP), Centre (C), and Christian Democrats (KD)—whose support levels cluster tightly between roughly 6% and 8% across late-summer surveys from Novus, Verian, and Demoskop. Trader consensus prices reflect this uncertainty, with MP at 31.5%, V at 24.5%, C at 24.0%, and KD at 18.5% implied probability for fifth place, while major parties sit near zero. The race remains close because small shifts in turnout, bloc switching, or late-campaign focus on cost-of-living, crime, and security issues can reorder these four parties. A recent school attack has heightened security discussions, potentially influencing smaller-party momentum, while the Liberals’ persistent weakness below the 4% threshold adds volatility to seat projections. Final-week polling releases, televised debates, or economic data releases could widen or narrow the gaps among these contenders.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$13,473
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).**Recent Swedish polling shows the Social Democrats (S) leading at around 30-31%, followed by the Sweden Democrats (SD) near 19% and the Moderates (M) at 17-18%, locking the top three spots ahead of the September 13 election.** This leaves fifth place contested among the next tier of parties—primarily the Left Party (V), Greens (MP), Centre (C), and Christian Democrats (KD)—whose support levels cluster tightly between roughly 6% and 8% across late-summer surveys from Novus, Verian, and Demoskop. Trader consensus prices reflect this uncertainty, with MP at 31.5%, V at 24.5%, C at 24.0%, and KD at 18.5% implied probability for fifth place, while major parties sit near zero. The race remains close because small shifts in turnout, bloc switching, or late-campaign focus on cost-of-living, crime, and security issues can reorder these four parties. A recent school attack has heightened security discussions, potentially influencing smaller-party momentum, while the Liberals’ persistent weakness below the 4% threshold adds volatility to seat projections. Final-week polling releases, televised debates, or economic data releases could widen or narrow the gaps among these contenders.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$13,473
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Green Party (MP)" at 31%, followed by "Left Party (V)" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place" has generated $13.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place" is "Green Party (MP)" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Left Party (V)" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.