Recent Swedish polling ahead of the September 13 election shows the Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates solidly ahead, leaving the race for fourth place tightly contested among the Left Party, Centre Party, and Greens, whose support hovers in the 6-8% range across August surveys. Minor fluctuations in these mid-tier parties' numbers, combined with voter uncertainty near the 4% threshold for Riksdag seats, sustain the close probabilities. The Christian Democrats trail further back, while larger parties remain unlikely to slip into fourth. Final weeks of campaigning and turnout patterns among smaller voter blocs could still shift the order.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLeft Party (V) 29%
Centre Party (C) 27%
Green Party (MP) 25%
Christian Democrats (KD) 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
Left Party (V)
29%
Centre Party (C)
27%
Green Party (MP)
25%
Christian Democrats (KD)
13%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
<1%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%
Moderate Party (M)
<1%
Left Party (V) 29%
Centre Party (C) 27%
Green Party (MP) 25%
Christian Democrats (KD) 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
Left Party (V)
$3,559 Vol.
29%
Centre Party (C)
$666 Vol.
27%
Green Party (MP)
$1,581 Vol.
25%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$670 Vol.
13%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$523 Vol.
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$446 Vol.
<1%
Liberals (L)
$406 Vol.
<1%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$370 Vol.
<1%
Moderate Party (M)
$506 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish polling ahead of the September 13 election shows the Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates solidly ahead, leaving the race for fourth place tightly contested among the Left Party, Centre Party, and Greens, whose support hovers in the 6-8% range across August surveys. Minor fluctuations in these mid-tier parties' numbers, combined with voter uncertainty near the 4% threshold for Riksdag seats, sustain the close probabilities. The Christian Democrats trail further back, while larger parties remain unlikely to slip into fourth. Final weeks of campaigning and turnout patterns among smaller voter blocs could still shift the order.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 5:04 AM ET
Volume
$8,727End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish polling ahead of the September 13 election shows the Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates solidly ahead, leaving the race for fourth place tightly contested among the Left Party, Centre Party, and Greens, whose support hovers in the 6-8% range across August surveys. Minor fluctuations in these mid-tier parties' numbers, combined with voter uncertainty near the 4% threshold for Riksdag seats, sustain the close probabilities. The Christian Democrats trail further back, while larger parties remain unlikely to slip into fourth. Final weeks of campaigning and turnout patterns among smaller voter blocs could still shift the order.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$8,727End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Swedish polling ahead of the September 13 election shows the Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates solidly ahead, leaving the race for fourth place tightly contested among the Left Party, Centre Party, and Greens, whose support hovers in the 6-8% range across August surveys. Minor fluctuations in these mid-tier parties' numbers, combined with voter uncertainty near the 4% threshold for Riksdag seats, sustain the close probabilities. The Christian Democrats trail further back, while larger parties remain unlikely to slip into fourth. Final weeks of campaigning and turnout patterns among smaller voter blocs could still shift the order.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
Will the Green Party (MP) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
30%
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
75%
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
28%
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