**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic on July 31, 2026, establishing immediate frontrunner momentum that has carried through its first four weeks. Strong word-of-mouth, a 2.4x legs multiplier, Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, and minimal August competition have sustained high per-screen averages and consistent top-chart placement, pushing the domestic cume past $815–855 million by late August. Traders see the 800–900 million bracket as the clear consensus because the film’s trajectory aligns with historical MCU/Sony benchmarks while its current pace points squarely into that range by month’s end. The 15% chance of 900 million-plus reflects the possibility of continued strong daily holds through August 31, though the film’s drop-off pattern and remaining calendar make that outcome less probable. Lower brackets carry negligible implied probability given the already-bankable total.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
800 - 900m 85%
900m+ 15.0%
<400m <1%
400 - 500m <1%
$1,803,431 Vol.
$1,803,431 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<400m
<1%
400 - 500m
<1%
500 - 600m
<1%
600 - 700m
<1%
700 - 800m
<1%
800 - 900m
85%
900m+
15%
800 - 900m 85%
900m+ 15.0%
<400m <1%
400 - 500m <1%
$1,803,431 Vol.
$1,803,431 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<400m
$47,242 Vol.
<1%
400 - 500m
$32,997 Vol.
<1%
500 - 600m
$28,816 Vol.
<1%
600 - 700m
$43,586 Vol.
<1%
700 - 800m
$127,052 Vol.
<1%
800 - 900m
$472,436 Vol.
85%
900m+
$1,051,302 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic on July 31, 2026, establishing immediate frontrunner momentum that has carried through its first four weeks. Strong word-of-mouth, a 2.4x legs multiplier, Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, and minimal August competition have sustained high per-screen averages and consistent top-chart placement, pushing the domestic cume past $815–855 million by late August.
Traders see the 800–900 million bracket as the clear consensus because the film’s trajectory aligns with historical MCU/Sony benchmarks while its current pace points squarely into that range by month’s end. The 15% chance of 900 million-plus reflects the possibility of continued strong daily holds through August 31, though the film’s drop-off pattern and remaining calendar make that outcome less probable. Lower brackets carry negligible implied probability given the already-bankable total.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$1,803,431End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic on July 31, 2026, establishing immediate frontrunner momentum that has carried through its first four weeks. Strong word-of-mouth, a 2.4x legs multiplier, Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, and minimal August competition have sustained high per-screen averages and consistent top-chart placement, pushing the domestic cume past $815–855 million by late August.
Traders see the 800–900 million bracket as the clear consensus because the film’s trajectory aligns with historical MCU/Sony benchmarks while its current pace points squarely into that range by month’s end. The 15% chance of 900 million-plus reflects the possibility of continued strong daily holds through August 31, though the film’s drop-off pattern and remaining calendar make that outcome less probable. Lower brackets carry negligible implied probability given the already-bankable total.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$1,803,431End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic on July 31, 2026, establishing immediate frontrunner momentum that has carried through its first four weeks. Strong word-of-mouth, a 2.4x legs multiplier, Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, and minimal August competition have sustained high per-screen averages and consistent top-chart placement, pushing the domestic cume past $815–855 million by late August. Traders see the 800–900 million bracket as the clear consensus because the film’s trajectory aligns with historical MCU/Sony benchmarks while its current pace points squarely into that range by month’s end. The 15% chance of 900 million-plus reflects the possibility of continued strong daily holds through August 31, though the film’s drop-off pattern and remaining calendar make that outcome less probable. Lower brackets carry negligible implied probability given the already-bankable total.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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