**Spider-Man: Brand New Day**'s record $360 million domestic opening and resilient legs have locked in strong trader consensus around the 800-900 million range by August 31. After four weekends, the Tom Holland-Zendaya tentpole stands at roughly $855 million domestically with consistent top-chart placement and drops aligning with franchise precedents like *No Way Home*. Limited August competition and steady weekday holds support continued accumulation through month-end, while models projecting a final total near or above $900 million create the modest probability for the higher bucket. The market reflects these verified performance metrics and release timing rather than final run projections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
800 - 900m 85%
900m+ 15.2%
<400m <1%
400 - 500m <1%
$1,803,431 Vol.
$1,803,431 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<400m
<1%
400 - 500m
<1%
500 - 600m
<1%
600 - 700m
<1%
700 - 800m
<1%
800 - 900m
85%
900m+
15%
800 - 900m 85%
900m+ 15.2%
<400m <1%
400 - 500m <1%
$1,803,431 Vol.
$1,803,431 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<400m
$47,242 Vol.
<1%
400 - 500m
$32,997 Vol.
<1%
500 - 600m
$28,816 Vol.
<1%
600 - 700m
$43,586 Vol.
<1%
700 - 800m
$127,052 Vol.
<1%
800 - 900m
$472,436 Vol.
85%
900m+
$1,051,302 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day**'s record $360 million domestic opening and resilient legs have locked in strong trader consensus around the 800-900 million range by August 31. After four weekends, the Tom Holland-Zendaya tentpole stands at roughly $855 million domestically with consistent top-chart placement and drops aligning with franchise precedents like *No Way Home*. Limited August competition and steady weekday holds support continued accumulation through month-end, while models projecting a final total near or above $900 million create the modest probability for the higher bucket. The market reflects these verified performance metrics and release timing rather than final run projections.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$1,803,431End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day**'s record $360 million domestic opening and resilient legs have locked in strong trader consensus around the 800-900 million range by August 31. After four weekends, the Tom Holland-Zendaya tentpole stands at roughly $855 million domestically with consistent top-chart placement and drops aligning with franchise precedents like *No Way Home*. Limited August competition and steady weekday holds support continued accumulation through month-end, while models projecting a final total near or above $900 million create the modest probability for the higher bucket. The market reflects these verified performance metrics and release timing rather than final run projections.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$1,803,431End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day**'s record $360 million domestic opening and resilient legs have locked in strong trader consensus around the 800-900 million range by August 31. After four weekends, the Tom Holland-Zendaya tentpole stands at roughly $855 million domestically with consistent top-chart placement and drops aligning with franchise precedents like *No Way Home*. Limited August competition and steady weekday holds support continued accumulation through month-end, while models projecting a final total near or above $900 million create the modest probability for the higher bucket. The market reflects these verified performance metrics and release timing rather than final run projections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions