The Supreme Court’s June 30, 2026, 6-3 ruling in Trump v. Barbara upheld birthright citizenship under the Fourteenth Amendment’s Citizenship Clause, striking down the executive order and issuing a final judgment after the late-July deadline for rehearing petitions passed without action. The Court has not granted rehearing in decades and treats such requests as exceptional, with the majority opinion—joined by Chief Justice Roberts, Justice Barrett, and the three liberal justices—viewed as firmly grounded in precedent such as United States v. Wong Kim Ark. A new August 2026 executive order faces fresh challenges and does not reopen the resolved case. Trader consensus at 99% against rehearing by year-end reflects these procedural barriers and institutional norms, though an unforeseen filing or docket maneuver could theoretically alter the timeline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1% chance
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Dec 31, 2026
1% chance
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Dec 31, 2026
The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Supreme Court’s June 30, 2026, 6-3 ruling in Trump v. Barbara upheld birthright citizenship under the Fourteenth Amendment’s Citizenship Clause, striking down the executive order and issuing a final judgment after the late-July deadline for rehearing petitions passed without action. The Court has not granted rehearing in decades and treats such requests as exceptional, with the majority opinion—joined by Chief Justice Roberts, Justice Barrett, and the three liberal justices—viewed as firmly grounded in precedent such as United States v. Wong Kim Ark. A new August 2026 executive order faces fresh challenges and does not reopen the resolved case. Trader consensus at 99% against rehearing by year-end reflects these procedural barriers and institutional norms, though an unforeseen filing or docket maneuver could theoretically alter the timeline.
The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ET
Volume
$1,741End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Supreme Court’s June 30, 2026, 6-3 ruling in Trump v. Barbara upheld birthright citizenship under the Fourteenth Amendment’s Citizenship Clause, striking down the executive order and issuing a final judgment after the late-July deadline for rehearing petitions passed without action. The Court has not granted rehearing in decades and treats such requests as exceptional, with the majority opinion—joined by Chief Justice Roberts, Justice Barrett, and the three liberal justices—viewed as firmly grounded in precedent such as United States v. Wong Kim Ark. A new August 2026 executive order faces fresh challenges and does not reopen the resolved case. Trader consensus at 99% against rehearing by year-end reflects these procedural barriers and institutional norms, though an unforeseen filing or docket maneuver could theoretically alter the timeline.
The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,741End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Supreme Court’s June 30, 2026, 6-3 ruling in Trump v. Barbara upheld birthright citizenship under the Fourteenth Amendment’s Citizenship Clause, striking down the executive order and issuing a final judgment after the late-July deadline for rehearing petitions passed without action. The Court has not granted rehearing in decades and treats such requests as exceptional, with the majority opinion—joined by Chief Justice Roberts, Justice Barrett, and the three liberal justices—viewed as firmly grounded in precedent such as United States v. Wong Kim Ark. A new August 2026 executive order faces fresh challenges and does not reopen the resolved case. Trader consensus at 99% against rehearing by year-end reflects these procedural barriers and institutional norms, though an unforeseen filing or docket maneuver could theoretically alter the timeline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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