Recent polling from late August shows Esperidião Amin (PP) narrowly ahead in aggregated first- and second-place Senate intentions at 19%, followed by Carlos Bolsonaro (PL) at 16% and Carol de Toni (PL) at 12%, with Décio Lima (PT) at 9% and a large share of undecided or null voters exceeding 25%. This keeps the contest for second place highly competitive under Santa Catarina’s two-vote system, where right-leaning PL and PP candidates draw overlapping support while smaller parties fragment the remainder. Trader pricing reflects these narrow gaps and the absence of decisive momentum shifts since candidate registrations closed in mid-August. Further surveys, party coordination on vote-splitting strategies, or turnout patterns in key regions could widen separations before October voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSanta Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place
Santa Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place
Carol de Toni 40%
Carlos Bolsonaro 29%
Esperidião Amin 26%
Jeferson da Rocha 4.7%
$18,441 Vol.
$18,441 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Carol de Toni
40%
Carlos Bolsonaro
29%
Esperidião Amin
26%
Jeferson da Rocha
5%
Lunelli
1%
Afrânio Boppré
1%
Carol
<1%
Décio Lima
<1%
Joaninha de Oliveira
<1%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
<1%
Marcos Dorval
<1%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
<1%
Marlene Soccas
<1%
Carol de Toni 40%
Carlos Bolsonaro 29%
Esperidião Amin 26%
Jeferson da Rocha 4.7%
$18,441 Vol.
$18,441 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Carol de Toni
$6,612 Vol.
40%
Carlos Bolsonaro
$4,450 Vol.
29%
Esperidião Amin
$1,810 Vol.
26%
Jeferson da Rocha
$764 Vol.
5%
Lunelli
$527 Vol.
1%
Afrânio Boppré
$593 Vol.
1%
Carol
$459 Vol.
<1%
Décio Lima
$545 Vol.
<1%
Joaninha de Oliveira
$595 Vol.
<1%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
$549 Vol.
<1%
Marcos Dorval
$454 Vol.
<1%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
$534 Vol.
<1%
Marlene Soccas
$549 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows Esperidião Amin (PP) narrowly ahead in aggregated first- and second-place Senate intentions at 19%, followed by Carlos Bolsonaro (PL) at 16% and Carol de Toni (PL) at 12%, with Décio Lima (PT) at 9% and a large share of undecided or null voters exceeding 25%. This keeps the contest for second place highly competitive under Santa Catarina’s two-vote system, where right-leaning PL and PP candidates draw overlapping support while smaller parties fragment the remainder. Trader pricing reflects these narrow gaps and the absence of decisive momentum shifts since candidate registrations closed in mid-August. Further surveys, party coordination on vote-splitting strategies, or turnout patterns in key regions could widen separations before October voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Volume
$18,441End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows Esperidião Amin (PP) narrowly ahead in aggregated first- and second-place Senate intentions at 19%, followed by Carlos Bolsonaro (PL) at 16% and Carol de Toni (PL) at 12%, with Décio Lima (PT) at 9% and a large share of undecided or null voters exceeding 25%. This keeps the contest for second place highly competitive under Santa Catarina’s two-vote system, where right-leaning PL and PP candidates draw overlapping support while smaller parties fragment the remainder. Trader pricing reflects these narrow gaps and the absence of decisive momentum shifts since candidate registrations closed in mid-August. Further surveys, party coordination on vote-splitting strategies, or turnout patterns in key regions could widen separations before October voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$18,441End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from late August shows Esperidião Amin (PP) narrowly ahead in aggregated first- and second-place Senate intentions at 19%, followed by Carlos Bolsonaro (PL) at 16% and Carol de Toni (PL) at 12%, with Décio Lima (PT) at 9% and a large share of undecided or null voters exceeding 25%. This keeps the contest for second place highly competitive under Santa Catarina’s two-vote system, where right-leaning PL and PP candidates draw overlapping support while smaller parties fragment the remainder. Trader pricing reflects these narrow gaps and the absence of decisive momentum shifts since candidate registrations closed in mid-August. Further surveys, party coordination on vote-splitting strategies, or turnout patterns in key regions could widen separations before October voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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