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Politics·Main Election

Rondônia Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Rondônia Senate Election: 1st Place
Politics·Main Election

Rondônia Senate Election: 1st Place

Dr. Fernando Máximo 43%

Sílvia Cristina 38%

Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 7.0%

Acir Gurgacz 2.7%

Polymarket

$23,181 Vol.

Dr. Fernando Máximo 43%

Sílvia Cristina 38%

Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 7.0%

Acir Gurgacz 2.7%

Polymarket

$23,181 Vol.

icon for Dr. Fernando Máximo

Dr. Fernando Máximo

$10,352 Vol.

43%

icon for Sílvia Cristina

Sílvia Cristina

$10,103 Vol.

38%

icon for Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid

Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid

$284 Vol.

7%

icon for Acir Gurgacz

Acir Gurgacz

$302 Vol.

3%

icon for Luciana Oliveira

Luciana Oliveira

$313 Vol.

3%

icon for Mariana Carvalho

Mariana Carvalho

$352 Vol.

1%

icon for Luis Fernando

Luis Fernando

$260 Vol.

1%

icon for Engenheiro Thulio

Engenheiro Thulio

$314 Vol.

1%

icon for Aires Mota

Aires Mota

$327 Vol.

<1%

icon for Neidinha

Neidinha

$576 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for first place in Rondônia's Senate contest, ahead of Sílvia Cristina (PP), with Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) and others trailing. Multiple July and August 2026 polls show the top contenders separated by just a few points in consolidated first- and second-preference votes, reflecting the state's strong right-leaning electorate and the mechanics of electing two senators simultaneously. Máximo benefits from high name recognition after topping the 2022 federal deputy ballot and his prior role as state health secretary, while Cristina draws support as an incumbent federal deputy with established regional networks. Late-campaign alliances, turnout among undecided voters, and any shifts in PL-PP coordination could widen the gap before the October 4 vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$23,181
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for first place in Rondônia's Senate contest, ahead of Sílvia Cristina (PP), with Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) and others trailing. Multiple July and August 2026 polls show the top contenders separated by just a few points in consolidated first- and second-preference votes, reflecting the state's strong right-leaning electorate and the mechanics of electing two senators simultaneously. Máximo benefits from high name recognition after topping the 2022 federal deputy ballot and his prior role as state health secretary, while Cristina draws support as an incumbent federal deputy with established regional networks. Late-campaign alliances, turnout among undecided voters, and any shifts in PL-PP coordination could widen the gap before the October 4 vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$23,181
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Rondônia Senate Election: 1st Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dr. Fernando Máximo" at 43%, followed by "Sílvia Cristina" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Rondônia Senate Election: 1st Place" has generated $23.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Rondônia Senate Election: 1st Place," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Rondônia Senate Election: 1st Place" is "Dr. Fernando Máximo" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sílvia Cristina" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Rondônia Senate Election: 1st Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.