**Mitch McConnell has not voted in the Senate since June 11, 2026, following a fall at his home that led to hospitalization and treatment for mild pneumonia.** As of late July, his office confirmed he remained in a rehabilitation facility undergoing intensive physical therapy, was not medically cleared to return to duties, and faced ongoing mobility challenges linked to childhood polio. The 84-year-old Kentucky Republican, who announced in February 2025 that he would not seek re-election and would retire when his term ends in January 2027, has given no timeline for resuming floor votes. Senate sessions resumed after the summer recess with work on defense and security measures expected through September, yet McConnell’s extended absence continues without new clearance updates. Traders price the “No” outcome at 72% because the recovery timeline from his mid-June incident makes a return to voting by September 30 unlikely, consistent with prior prolonged health-related absences and the absence of any recent medical or scheduling developments indicating an imminent return.