Recent clearing after a multi-day thunderstorm system across Turkey has introduced cooler northeasterly flow and reduced humidity, favoring moderate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. Forecast models show Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 31 settling near 19–22 °C, with the tight spread between 20–22 °C outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud cover, boundary-layer wind speeds, and surface moisture remaining after earlier rains. Calm conditions enhance downward longwave radiation loss, while any lingering low-level moisture or light winds could limit the drop, keeping probabilities closely matched among these bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 31?
19°C 50%
27°C or higher 50%
18°C 49%
22°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
17°C or below
19%
18°C
49%
19°C
50%
20°C
26%
21°C
37%
22°C
37%
23°C
26%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
7%
27°C or higher
50%
19°C 50%
27°C or higher 50%
18°C 49%
22°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
19%
18°C
$0 Vol.
49%
19°C
$0 Vol.
50%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$0 Vol.
37%
22°C
$0 Vol.
37%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
8%
26°C
$0 Vol.
7%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent clearing after a multi-day thunderstorm system across Turkey has introduced cooler northeasterly flow and reduced humidity, favoring moderate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. Forecast models show Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 31 settling near 19–22 °C, with the tight spread between 20–22 °C outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud cover, boundary-layer wind speeds, and surface moisture remaining after earlier rains. Calm conditions enhance downward longwave radiation loss, while any lingering low-level moisture or light winds could limit the drop, keeping probabilities closely matched among these bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent clearing after a multi-day thunderstorm system across Turkey has introduced cooler northeasterly flow and reduced humidity, favoring moderate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. Forecast models show Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 31 settling near 19–22 °C, with the tight spread between 20–22 °C outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud cover, boundary-layer wind speeds, and surface moisture remaining after earlier rains. Calm conditions enhance downward longwave radiation loss, while any lingering low-level moisture or light winds could limit the drop, keeping probabilities closely matched among these bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent clearing after a multi-day thunderstorm system across Turkey has introduced cooler northeasterly flow and reduced humidity, favoring moderate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. Forecast models show Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 31 settling near 19–22 °C, with the tight spread between 20–22 °C outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud cover, boundary-layer wind speeds, and surface moisture remaining after earlier rains. Calm conditions enhance downward longwave radiation loss, while any lingering low-level moisture or light winds could limit the drop, keeping probabilities closely matched among these bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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