Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Beijing's overnight minimum on August 26 will likely settle near 20–21°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and light showers or drizzle that limit radiative cooling. Light variable winds and a lack of clear skies or stronger northerly flow prevent sharper drops, aligning with the historical August average low of roughly 20°C. The tight 51%–49.5% split between 21°C and 20°C reflects model consensus on these moderating factors, while probabilities for 19°C or below remain low absent a stronger frontal passage or clearer conditions. Updated observations through the night will refine the final recorded minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Beijing on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 26?
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$3,229 Vol.
$3,229 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$3,229 Vol.
$3,229 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
17°C or below
$155 Vol.
No
18°C
$146 Vol.
No
19°C
$107 Vol.
No
20°C
$76 Vol.
No
21°C
$307 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$627 Vol.
No
23°C
$242 Vol.
No
24°C
$90 Vol.
No
25°C
$141 Vol.
No
26°C
$941 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$395 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Beijing's overnight minimum on August 26 will likely settle near 20–21°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and light showers or drizzle that limit radiative cooling. Light variable winds and a lack of clear skies or stronger northerly flow prevent sharper drops, aligning with the historical August average low of roughly 20°C. The tight 51%–49.5% split between 21°C and 20°C reflects model consensus on these moderating factors, while probabilities for 19°C or below remain low absent a stronger frontal passage or clearer conditions. Updated observations through the night will refine the final recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,229End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Beijing's overnight minimum on August 26 will likely settle near 20–21°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and light showers or drizzle that limit radiative cooling. Light variable winds and a lack of clear skies or stronger northerly flow prevent sharper drops, aligning with the historical August average low of roughly 20°C. The tight 51%–49.5% split between 21°C and 20°C reflects model consensus on these moderating factors, while probabilities for 19°C or below remain low absent a stronger frontal passage or clearer conditions. Updated observations through the night will refine the final recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,229End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Beijing's overnight minimum on August 26 will likely settle near 20–21°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and light showers or drizzle that limit radiative cooling. Light variable winds and a lack of clear skies or stronger northerly flow prevent sharper drops, aligning with the historical August average low of roughly 20°C. The tight 51%–49.5% split between 21°C and 20°C reflects model consensus on these moderating factors, while probabilities for 19°C or below remain low absent a stronger frontal passage or clearer conditions. Updated observations through the night will refine the final recorded minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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