Skip to main content
icon for Lienchiang County Magistrate Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Lienchiang County Magistrate Election Winner

icon for Lienchiang County Magistrate Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Lienchiang County Magistrate Election Winner

Wang Chung-ming 86%

Tsao Erh-yuan 5.0%

Tsao Erh-chang <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Wang Chung-ming 86%

Tsao Erh-yuan 5.0%

Tsao Erh-chang <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Wang Chung-ming

Wang Chung-ming

$3,748 Vol.

86%

icon for Tsao Erh-yuan

Tsao Erh-yuan

$777 Vol.

5%

icon for Tsao Erh-chang

Tsao Erh-chang

$1,000 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wang Chung-ming, the Kuomintang incumbent magistrate of Lienchiang County (Matsu), holds an 86% implied probability in trader consensus for re-election on November 28, 2026. His position stems from the party's June 2026 nomination, established incumbency since 2022, and the county's consistent KMT alignment in local contests. Independent KMT challenger Tsao Erh-yuan registers at 5%, with Tsao Erh-chang near zero, reflecting limited traction for splinter bids in this small electorate. Broader field entries show minimal market movement, underscoring the structural advantages of party endorsement and name recognition ahead of the vote. No major polling shifts or new candidacies have altered these dynamics in recent weeks.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$5,525
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 9:06 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wang Chung-ming, the Kuomintang incumbent magistrate of Lienchiang County (Matsu), holds an 86% implied probability in trader consensus for re-election on November 28, 2026. His position stems from the party's June 2026 nomination, established incumbency since 2022, and the county's consistent KMT alignment in local contests. Independent KMT challenger Tsao Erh-yuan registers at 5%, with Tsao Erh-chang near zero, reflecting limited traction for splinter bids in this small electorate. Broader field entries show minimal market movement, underscoring the structural advantages of party endorsement and name recognition ahead of the vote. No major polling shifts or new candidacies have altered these dynamics in recent weeks.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$5,525
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 9:06 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Related

icon for Will Chou Chun-mi win the next Pingtung County Magistrate election?

Will Chou Chun-mi win the next Pingtung County Magistrate election?

87%
icon for Will Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?

Will Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?

87%
icon for Will Tsai Yi-yu win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election?

Will Tsai Yi-yu win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election?

91%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Lienchiang County Magistrate Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Wang Chung-ming" at 86%, followed by "Tsao Erh-yuan" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Lienchiang County Magistrate Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Lienchiang County Magistrate Election Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Lienchiang County Magistrate Election Winner" is "Wang Chung-ming" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tsao Erh-yuan" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Lienchiang County Magistrate Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.