OpenAI’s pursuit of a $1 trillion-plus IPO valuation amid a $852 billion private mark from its March 2026 round has introduced timing uncertainty that disperses trader-implied raise amounts across multiple brackets. The company’s confidential S-1 filing in June, combined with CFO Sarah Friar’s August 20 confirmation of a 2027 target—potentially earlier if revenue growth sustains—highlights a deliberate pause to avoid listing below management’s threshold, as seen in SpaceX’s post-IPO volatility. Strong fundamentals, including a $40 billion annualized revenue run rate and $6.7 billion in Q2 revenue, support premium pricing potential, yet the crowded AI IPO pipeline featuring Anthropic and broader market caution on mega-cap floats keep outcomes contested. Key near-term catalysts include any pre-IPO investor meetings or updated SEC disclosures that could clarify primary share issuance size relative to secondary liquidity events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
<$30B 28.9%
$80B–$90B 20.8%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$100B+ 16%
NEW
NEW
Dec 30, 2027
<$30B
29%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
24%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
10%
$80B–$90B
21%
$90B–$100B
3%
$100B+
16%
<$30B 28.9%
$80B–$90B 20.8%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$100B+ 16%
NEW
NEW
Dec 30, 2027
<$30B
$603 Vol.
29%
$30B–$40B
$463 Vol.
4%
$40B–$50B
$1,621 Vol.
24%
$50B–$60B
$1,151 Vol.
6%
$60B–$70B
$496 Vol.
8%
$70B–$80B
$489 Vol.
10%
$80B–$90B
$448 Vol.
21%
$90B–$100B
$306 Vol.
3%
$100B+
$637 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s pursuit of a $1 trillion-plus IPO valuation amid a $852 billion private mark from its March 2026 round has introduced timing uncertainty that disperses trader-implied raise amounts across multiple brackets. The company’s confidential S-1 filing in June, combined with CFO Sarah Friar’s August 20 confirmation of a 2027 target—potentially earlier if revenue growth sustains—highlights a deliberate pause to avoid listing below management’s threshold, as seen in SpaceX’s post-IPO volatility. Strong fundamentals, including a $40 billion annualized revenue run rate and $6.7 billion in Q2 revenue, support premium pricing potential, yet the crowded AI IPO pipeline featuring Anthropic and broader market caution on mega-cap floats keep outcomes contested. Key near-term catalysts include any pre-IPO investor meetings or updated SEC disclosures that could clarify primary share issuance size relative to secondary liquidity events.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Volume
$6,214End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s pursuit of a $1 trillion-plus IPO valuation amid a $852 billion private mark from its March 2026 round has introduced timing uncertainty that disperses trader-implied raise amounts across multiple brackets. The company’s confidential S-1 filing in June, combined with CFO Sarah Friar’s August 20 confirmation of a 2027 target—potentially earlier if revenue growth sustains—highlights a deliberate pause to avoid listing below management’s threshold, as seen in SpaceX’s post-IPO volatility. Strong fundamentals, including a $40 billion annualized revenue run rate and $6.7 billion in Q2 revenue, support premium pricing potential, yet the crowded AI IPO pipeline featuring Anthropic and broader market caution on mega-cap floats keep outcomes contested. Key near-term catalysts include any pre-IPO investor meetings or updated SEC disclosures that could clarify primary share issuance size relative to secondary liquidity events.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,214End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s pursuit of a $1 trillion-plus IPO valuation amid a $852 billion private mark from its March 2026 round has introduced timing uncertainty that disperses trader-implied raise amounts across multiple brackets. The company’s confidential S-1 filing in June, combined with CFO Sarah Friar’s August 20 confirmation of a 2027 target—potentially earlier if revenue growth sustains—highlights a deliberate pause to avoid listing below management’s threshold, as seen in SpaceX’s post-IPO volatility. Strong fundamentals, including a $40 billion annualized revenue run rate and $6.7 billion in Q2 revenue, support premium pricing potential, yet the crowded AI IPO pipeline featuring Anthropic and broader market caution on mega-cap floats keep outcomes contested. Key near-term catalysts include any pre-IPO investor meetings or updated SEC disclosures that could clarify primary share issuance size relative to secondary liquidity events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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