OpenAI's confidential SEC filing in June 2026, following its March close of a $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, anchors trader expectations for a potential public debut at or above $1 trillion market cap. The company reports $2 billion in monthly revenue—up sharply from $13.1 billion for full-year 2025—with enterprise contributing over 40% and growth outpacing prior tech benchmarks, though it remains unprofitable amid heavy infrastructure spend. Sentiment reflects AI-sector momentum, comparable late-2026 listings, and macro factors like Treasury yields and risk appetite, with timing now leaning toward 2027 rather than late 2026. Key catalysts include any S-1 updates, peer earnings, and FOMC decisions that could influence IPO windows and valuation multiples.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,521,041 Vol.
$1,521,041 Vol.
Dec 30, 2027
$800B
83%
$1T
76%
$1.2T
61%
$1.4T
55%
$1.6T
43%
$1,521,041 Vol.
$1,521,041 Vol.
Dec 30, 2027
$800B
$107,749 Vol.
83%
$1T
$1,046,743 Vol.
76%
$1.2T
$248,690 Vol.
61%
$1.4T
$68,537 Vol.
55%
$1.6T
$49,323 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI's confidential SEC filing in June 2026, following its March close of a $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, anchors trader expectations for a potential public debut at or above $1 trillion market cap. The company reports $2 billion in monthly revenue—up sharply from $13.1 billion for full-year 2025—with enterprise contributing over 40% and growth outpacing prior tech benchmarks, though it remains unprofitable amid heavy infrastructure spend. Sentiment reflects AI-sector momentum, comparable late-2026 listings, and macro factors like Treasury yields and risk appetite, with timing now leaning toward 2027 rather than late 2026. Key catalysts include any S-1 updates, peer earnings, and FOMC decisions that could influence IPO windows and valuation multiples.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Market Opened: Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Volume
$1,521,041End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI's confidential SEC filing in June 2026, following its March close of a $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, anchors trader expectations for a potential public debut at or above $1 trillion market cap. The company reports $2 billion in monthly revenue—up sharply from $13.1 billion for full-year 2025—with enterprise contributing over 40% and growth outpacing prior tech benchmarks, though it remains unprofitable amid heavy infrastructure spend. Sentiment reflects AI-sector momentum, comparable late-2026 listings, and macro factors like Treasury yields and risk appetite, with timing now leaning toward 2027 rather than late 2026. Key catalysts include any S-1 updates, peer earnings, and FOMC decisions that could influence IPO windows and valuation multiples.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Volume
$1,521,041End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's confidential SEC filing in June 2026, following its March close of a $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, anchors trader expectations for a potential public debut at or above $1 trillion market cap. The company reports $2 billion in monthly revenue—up sharply from $13.1 billion for full-year 2025—with enterprise contributing over 40% and growth outpacing prior tech benchmarks, though it remains unprofitable amid heavy infrastructure spend. Sentiment reflects AI-sector momentum, comparable late-2026 listings, and macro factors like Treasury yields and risk appetite, with timing now leaning toward 2027 rather than late 2026. Key catalysts include any S-1 updates, peer earnings, and FOMC decisions that could influence IPO windows and valuation multiples.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions