Taylor Fritz’s advancement through the 2026 US Open men’s singles draw remains the decisive variable shaping BOGO totals, as Chipotle releases escalating codes—starting at 2,500 after a first-round win and rising to 10,000 for a title—only after each verified singles victory. With the tournament just underway, traders see roughly even implied probabilities across volume bands because Fritz’s path hinges on immediate factors such as form, draw position, and matchups against top seeds. Early exits would keep totals near the lower bins, while deep runs into quarterfinals or beyond would push aggregates well higher; the balanced market reflects this inherent unpredictability in a high-variance Grand Slam setting where upsets and fatigue routinely alter outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLess than 2,500 38%
2,500–5,499 38%
5,500–8,999 38%
9,000–12,999 38%
Less than 2,500
38%
2,500–5,499
38%
5,500–8,999
38%
9,000–12,999
38%
13,000–17,499
38%
17,500–22,499
38%
22,500–32,499
38%
32,500 or more
38%
Less than 2,500 38%
2,500–5,499 38%
5,500–8,999 38%
9,000–12,999 38%
Less than 2,500
38%
2,500–5,499
38%
5,500–8,999
38%
9,000–12,999
38%
13,000–17,499
38%
17,500–22,499
38%
22,500–32,499
38%
32,500 or more
38%
If the event is not completed by September 29, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Chipotle (https://newsroom.chipotle.com) and Taylor Fritz's official Instagram account (@taylor_fritz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://newsroom.chipotle.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the event is not completed by September 29, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Chipotle (https://newsroom.chipotle.com) and Taylor Fritz's official Instagram account (@taylor_fritz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://newsroom.chipotle.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taylor Fritz’s advancement through the 2026 US Open men’s singles draw remains the decisive variable shaping BOGO totals, as Chipotle releases escalating codes—starting at 2,500 after a first-round win and rising to 10,000 for a title—only after each verified singles victory. With the tournament just underway, traders see roughly even implied probabilities across volume bands because Fritz’s path hinges on immediate factors such as form, draw position, and matchups against top seeds. Early exits would keep totals near the lower bins, while deep runs into quarterfinals or beyond would push aggregates well higher; the balanced market reflects this inherent unpredictability in a high-variance Grand Slam setting where upsets and fatigue routinely alter outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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