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Sports·Tennis

US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)

icon for US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)
Sports·Tennis

US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)

$18,175 Vol.

Sep 12, 2026
Polymarket

$18,175 Vol.

Polymarket

Carlos Alcaraz

$1,491 Vol.

28%

Alexander Zverev

$107 Vol.

35%

Novak Djokovic

$156 Vol.

22%

Ben Shelton

$30 Vol.

16%

Rafael Jodar

$1,810 Vol.

16%

Arthur Fils

$145 Vol.

12%

Taylor Fritz

$22 Vol.

11%

Jakub Mensik

$708 Vol.

8%

Daniil Medvedev

$5 Vol.

7%

Felix Auger-Aliassime

$0 Vol.

6%

Alexander Bublik

$42 Vol.

5%

Brandon Nakashima

$671 Vol.

5%

Alex de Minaur

$397 Vol.

5%

Michael Zheng

$205 Vol.

4%

Thanasi Kokkinakis

$228 Vol.

4%

Jiri Lehecka

$21 Vol.

4%

Carlos Taberner

$103 Vol.

4%

Filip Misolic

$123 Vol.

4%

J.J. Wolf

$143 Vol.

4%

Flavio Cobolli

$21 Vol.

4%

Frances Tiafoe

$0 Vol.

4%

Lorenzo Musetti

$1 Vol.

3%

Casper Ruud

$936 Vol.

3%

Andrey Rublev

$236 Vol.

3%

Juncheng Shang

$183 Vol.

3%

Learner Tien

$1 Vol.

3%

Darwin Blanch

$268 Vol.

3%

Sebastian Gorzny

$268 Vol.

3%

Tommy Paul

$30 Vol.

3%

Luciano Darderi

$1 Vol.

3%

Valentin Vacherot

$103 Vol.

3%

Alejandro Tabilo

$1 Vol.

3%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

$101 Vol.

3%

Cameron Norrie

$313 Vol.

2%

Gael Monfils

$223 Vol.

2%

Dane Sweeny

$345 Vol.

2%

Francisco Cerundolo

$335 Vol.

2%

Alexander Blockx

$195 Vol.

2%

Zizou Bergs

$189 Vol.

2%

Ugo Humbert

$396 Vol.

1%

Arthur Rinderknech

$200 Vol.

<1%

Jack Kennedy

$325 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jannik Sinner’s withdrawal due to a right knee injury has reshaped the US Open 2026 men’s singles bracket, removing the world No. 1 and opening clearer paths in both halves ahead of the August 30 main draw start.** Carlos Alcaraz, the defending champion returning from a four-to-five-month wrist injury layoff with limited recent match play, anchors the bottom half as the consensus favorite to reach the final despite fitness questions, while Alexander Zverev, the top seed and recent French Open champion who reached the Wimbledon final, leads the top half. Novak Djokovic adds pedigree in Alcaraz’s section, and players such as Arthur Fils (fresh off a Cincinnati title), Ben Shelton, and Taylor Fritz have seen their implied probabilities rise in a more open field. The draw positions potential semifinal clashes that could determine finalists, with Alcaraz’s rust and Zverev’s current form serving as the main variables traders are weighing alongside historical hard-court results and bracket positioning.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,175
End Date
Sep 12, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:22 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jannik Sinner’s withdrawal due to a right knee injury has reshaped the US Open 2026 men’s singles bracket, removing the world No. 1 and opening clearer paths in both halves ahead of the August 30 main draw start.** Carlos Alcaraz, the defending champion returning from a four-to-five-month wrist injury layoff with limited recent match play, anchors the bottom half as the consensus favorite to reach the final despite fitness questions, while Alexander Zverev, the top seed and recent French Open champion who reached the Wimbledon final, leads the top half. Novak Djokovic adds pedigree in Alcaraz’s section, and players such as Arthur Fils (fresh off a Cincinnati title), Ben Shelton, and Taylor Fritz have seen their implied probabilities rise in a more open field. The draw positions potential semifinal clashes that could determine finalists, with Alcaraz’s rust and Zverev’s current form serving as the main variables traders are weighing alongside historical hard-court results and bracket positioning.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,175
End Date
Sep 12, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:22 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jack Kennedy" at 49%, followed by "Alexander Zverev" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)" has generated $18.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)" is "Jack Kennedy" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexander Zverev" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.