With Jannik Sinner sidelined by a right knee injury and Carlos Alcaraz returning from a four-month right wrist layoff without competitive matches since April, the 2026 US Open men's draw has opened considerably. Alexander Zverev enters as top seed after his Roland Garros title and Wimbledon final, while Arthur Fils brings momentum from his Cincinnati Masters 1000 crown. Novak Djokovic, Ben Shelton, and Taylor Fritz remain key contenders on the hard courts. Factors like match fitness, best-of-five endurance in New York heat, and draw positioning will shape paths to the quarterfinals, with traders viewing the field as more competitive than in recent years dominated by the Sinner-Alcaraz rivalry.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Sep 9, 2026
Alexander Zverev
66%
Novak Djokovic
58%
Carlos Alcaraz
56%
Learner Tien
54%
Brandon Nakashima
53%
Alexander Blockx
52%
Valentin Vacherot
50%
Alex de Minaur
48%
Ben Shelton
30%
Rafael Jodar
44%
Jiri Lehecka
43%
Tommy Paul
41%
Taylor Fritz
36%
Andrey Rublev
35%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
32%
Alexander Bublik
30%
Francisco Cerundolo
29%
Zizou Bergs
26%
Darwin Blanch
26%
Casper Ruud
25%
Dane Sweeny
24%
Daniil Medvedev
24%
Ugo Humbert
21%
Alejandro Tabilo
21%
Cameron Norrie
21%
J.J. Wolf
20%
Thanasi Kokkinakis
20%
Gael Monfils
20%
Lorenzo Musetti
19%
Frances Tiafoe
14%
Arthur Rinderknech
10%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
20%
Juncheng Shang
7%
Luciano Darderi
5%
Jack Kennedy
3%
Sebastian Gorzny
2%
Filip Misolic
2%
Carlos Taberner
1%
Flavio Cobolli
45%
Arthur Fils
60%
Michael Zheng
50%
Jakub Mensik
45%
$9,143 Vol.
Alexander Zverev
$256 Vol.
66%
Novak Djokovic
$71 Vol.
58%
Carlos Alcaraz
$2,707 Vol.
56%
Learner Tien
$0 Vol.
54%
Brandon Nakashima
$0 Vol.
53%
Alexander Blockx
$0 Vol.
52%
Valentin Vacherot
$0 Vol.
50%
Alex de Minaur
$0 Vol.
48%
Ben Shelton
$1,399 Vol.
30%
Rafael Jodar
$720 Vol.
44%
Jiri Lehecka
$0 Vol.
43%
Tommy Paul
$0 Vol.
41%
Taylor Fritz
$68 Vol.
36%
Andrey Rublev
$0 Vol.
35%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
$21 Vol.
32%
Alexander Bublik
$0 Vol.
30%
Francisco Cerundolo
$100 Vol.
29%
Zizou Bergs
$0 Vol.
26%
Darwin Blanch
$0 Vol.
26%
Casper Ruud
$0 Vol.
25%
Dane Sweeny
$0 Vol.
24%
Daniil Medvedev
$21 Vol.
24%
Ugo Humbert
$100 Vol.
21%
Alejandro Tabilo
$0 Vol.
21%
Cameron Norrie
$0 Vol.
21%
J.J. Wolf
$0 Vol.
20%
Thanasi Kokkinakis
$0 Vol.
20%
Gael Monfils
$0 Vol.
20%
Lorenzo Musetti
$71 Vol.
19%
Frances Tiafoe
$0 Vol.
14%
Arthur Rinderknech
$120 Vol.
10%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
$21 Vol.
20%
Juncheng Shang
$121 Vol.
7%
Luciano Darderi
$21 Vol.
5%
Jack Kennedy
$842 Vol.
3%
Sebastian Gorzny
$816 Vol.
2%
Filip Misolic
$550 Vol.
2%
Carlos Taberner
$463 Vol.
1%
Flavio Cobolli
$21 Vol.
45%
Arthur Fils
$142 Vol.
60%
Michael Zheng
$21 Vol.
50%
Jakub Mensik
$21 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With Jannik Sinner sidelined by a right knee injury and Carlos Alcaraz returning from a four-month right wrist layoff without competitive matches since April, the 2026 US Open men's draw has opened considerably. Alexander Zverev enters as top seed after his Roland Garros title and Wimbledon final, while Arthur Fils brings momentum from his Cincinnati Masters 1000 crown. Novak Djokovic, Ben Shelton, and Taylor Fritz remain key contenders on the hard courts. Factors like match fitness, best-of-five endurance in New York heat, and draw positioning will shape paths to the quarterfinals, with traders viewing the field as more competitive than in recent years dominated by the Sinner-Alcaraz rivalry.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 11:19 AM ET
Volume
$9,143End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:19 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With Jannik Sinner sidelined by a right knee injury and Carlos Alcaraz returning from a four-month right wrist layoff without competitive matches since April, the 2026 US Open men's draw has opened considerably. Alexander Zverev enters as top seed after his Roland Garros title and Wimbledon final, while Arthur Fils brings momentum from his Cincinnati Masters 1000 crown. Novak Djokovic, Ben Shelton, and Taylor Fritz remain key contenders on the hard courts. Factors like match fitness, best-of-five endurance in New York heat, and draw positioning will shape paths to the quarterfinals, with traders viewing the field as more competitive than in recent years dominated by the Sinner-Alcaraz rivalry.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,143End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:19 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With Jannik Sinner sidelined by a right knee injury and Carlos Alcaraz returning from a four-month right wrist layoff without competitive matches since April, the 2026 US Open men's draw has opened considerably. Alexander Zverev enters as top seed after his Roland Garros title and Wimbledon final, while Arthur Fils brings momentum from his Cincinnati Masters 1000 crown. Novak Djokovic, Ben Shelton, and Taylor Fritz remain key contenders on the hard courts. Factors like match fitness, best-of-five endurance in New York heat, and draw positioning will shape paths to the quarterfinals, with traders viewing the field as more competitive than in recent years dominated by the Sinner-Alcaraz rivalry.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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