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Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

icon for 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Aryna Sabalenka 21%

Iga Swiatek 16%

Coco Gauff 15.2%

Elena Rybakina 6.9%

Polymarket

$6,979,355 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka 21%

Iga Swiatek 16%

Coco Gauff 15.2%

Elena Rybakina 6.9%

Polymarket

$6,979,355 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka

$72,490 Vol.

21%

Iga Swiatek

$53,048 Vol.

16%

Coco Gauff

$68,212 Vol.

15%

Elena Rybakina

$129,238 Vol.

7%

Naomi Osaka

$38,618 Vol.

7%

Mirra Andreeva

$63,075 Vol.

6%

Jessica Pegula

$118,977 Vol.

5%

Amanda Anisimova

$112,858 Vol.

4%

Alexandra Eala

$304,744 Vol.

4%

Linda Noskova

$36,443 Vol.

3%

Karolina Muchova

$51,274 Vol.

2%

Elina Svitolina

$44,339 Vol.

2%

Madison Keys

$40,369 Vol.

1%

Barbora Krejcikova

$553,705 Vol.

1%

Diana Shnaider

$61,366 Vol.

1%

Belinda Bencic

$77,776 Vol.

1%

Emma Navarro

$57,916 Vol.

1%

Ekaterina Alexandrova

$59,674 Vol.

1%

Elise Mertens

$57,890 Vol.

1%

Qinwen Zheng

$274,402 Vol.

1%

Jasmine Paolini

$39,686 Vol.

1%

Liudmila Samsonova

$46,646 Vol.

1%

Tereza Valentova

$567,626 Vol.

<1%

Paula Badosa

$37,714 Vol.

<1%

Anastasia Potapova

$449,752 Vol.

<1%

Marie Bouzkova

$52,093 Vol.

<1%

Jelena Ostapenko

$39,928 Vol.

<1%

Clara Tauson

$30,067 Vol.

<1%

Donna Vekic

$148,758 Vol.

<1%

Dayana Yastremska

$30,049 Vol.

<1%

Xiyu Wang

$1,052,092 Vol.

<1%

Sofia Kenin

$198,965 Vol.

<1%

Maya Joint

$47,519 Vol.

<1%

Ashlyn Krueger

$48,682 Vol.

<1%

Marketa Vondrousova

$59,495 Vol.

<1%

Beatriz Haddad Maia

$40,239 Vol.

<1%

Victoria Mboko

$44,940 Vol.

<1%

Emma Raducanu

$78,997 Vol.

<1%

Daria Kasatkina

$19,177 Vol.

<1%

Katie Boulter

$1,670,517 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent hard-court results have kept the 2026 US Open women's title race wide open, with no player establishing clear dominance. Aryna Sabalenka, the two-time defending champion, enters with patchy form after early exits at Wimbledon, Toronto, and Cincinnati, where she fell to unseeded Sara Bejlek. Coco Gauff arrives with strong momentum after capturing the Cincinnati title, defeating Jessica Pegula in the final without dropping a set in the later rounds. Iga Swiatek won the Canadian Open but lost her Cincinnati semifinal to Pegula, contributing to ranking shifts. Elena Rybakina's injury concerns and the solid recent showings from players such as Mirra Andreeva and Linda Noskova further compress the implied probabilities, underscoring the competitive depth on the surface.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,979,355
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent hard-court results have kept the 2026 US Open women's title race wide open, with no player establishing clear dominance. Aryna Sabalenka, the two-time defending champion, enters with patchy form after early exits at Wimbledon, Toronto, and Cincinnati, where she fell to unseeded Sara Bejlek. Coco Gauff arrives with strong momentum after capturing the Cincinnati title, defeating Jessica Pegula in the final without dropping a set in the later rounds. Iga Swiatek won the Canadian Open but lost her Cincinnati semifinal to Pegula, contributing to ranking shifts. Elena Rybakina's injury concerns and the solid recent showings from players such as Mirra Andreeva and Linda Noskova further compress the implied probabilities, underscoring the competitive depth on the surface.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,979,355
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 40+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 21%, followed by "Iga Swiatek" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 21¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 40+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 21%, meaning the market assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Iga Swiatek" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.