Rapid revenue expansion to a $65 billion annualized run rate by July 2026, alongside 2028 projections of $190–200 billion, underpins trader focus on Anthropic’s October IPO window and supports implied closing market caps clustered between $1.75 trillion and $2.5 trillion. The May Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, paired with secondary trading near $1.2 trillion, anchors the lower end, while banker discussions of a potential $2 trillion debut and over $100 billion raise reflect aggressive forward multiples applied to AI growth. Competitive positioning against OpenAI, first-quarter profitability, and hyperscaler partnerships add support, yet uncertainty over sustained margins and sector multiples keeps probabilities evenly distributed across the central ranges ahead of the public S-1 and roadshow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1.75–$2.0T 18%
$2.0–$2.25T 16.8%
$2.25–$2.5T 17%
$2.5–$2.75T 12.8%
$406,191 Vol.
$406,191 Vol.
<$1.25T
3%
$1.25–$1.5T
7%
$1.5–$1.75T
11%
$1.75–$2.0T
18%
$2.0–$2.25T
17%
$2.25–$2.5T
17%
$2.5–$2.75T
13%
$2.75–$3.0T
6%
$3.0T+
8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
$1.75–$2.0T 18%
$2.0–$2.25T 16.8%
$2.25–$2.5T 17%
$2.5–$2.75T 12.8%
$406,191 Vol.
$406,191 Vol.
<$1.25T
3%
$1.25–$1.5T
7%
$1.5–$1.75T
11%
$1.75–$2.0T
18%
$2.0–$2.25T
17%
$2.25–$2.5T
17%
$2.5–$2.75T
13%
$2.75–$3.0T
6%
$3.0T+
8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rapid revenue expansion to a $65 billion annualized run rate by July 2026, alongside 2028 projections of $190–200 billion, underpins trader focus on Anthropic’s October IPO window and supports implied closing market caps clustered between $1.75 trillion and $2.5 trillion. The May Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, paired with secondary trading near $1.2 trillion, anchors the lower end, while banker discussions of a potential $2 trillion debut and over $100 billion raise reflect aggressive forward multiples applied to AI growth. Competitive positioning against OpenAI, first-quarter profitability, and hyperscaler partnerships add support, yet uncertainty over sustained margins and sector multiples keeps probabilities evenly distributed across the central ranges ahead of the public S-1 and roadshow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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