The tight contest between Democratic nominee David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany in this open-seat race has produced polling averages within a few points, with recent Marquette Law School data showing Crowley ahead 49-44 among likely voters and a tie among registered voters. Forecasters rate the November 3 election a toss-up or lean Democratic, consistent with Wisconsin's pattern of elevated participation in competitive gubernatorial contests. Democratic primary turnout reached 27.2 percent of the voting-age population, above recent cycles, while Republican primary engagement remained steady. These factors, alongside typical midterm dynamics and base mobilization on both sides, support trader clustering around the 2.6M-3.2M+ brackets. Limited late-cycle catalysts have yet to separate the ranges materially.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWisconsin Governor Election: Turnout
Wisconsin Governor Election: Turnout
3.2M+ 18%
2.4M-2.6M 18%
2.2M-2.4M 17%
2.8M-3M 16%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<2.2M
13%
2.2M-2.4M
17%
2.4M-2.6M
18%
2.6M-2.8M
47%
2.8M-3M
21%
3M-3.2M
13%
3.2M+
18%
3.2M+ 18%
2.4M-2.6M 18%
2.2M-2.4M 17%
2.8M-3M 16%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<2.2M
$54 Vol.
13%
2.2M-2.4M
$96 Vol.
17%
2.4M-2.6M
$54 Vol.
18%
2.6M-2.8M
$137 Vol.
47%
2.8M-3M
$178 Vol.
21%
3M-3.2M
$79 Vol.
13%
3.2M+
$140 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight contest between Democratic nominee David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany in this open-seat race has produced polling averages within a few points, with recent Marquette Law School data showing Crowley ahead 49-44 among likely voters and a tie among registered voters. Forecasters rate the November 3 election a toss-up or lean Democratic, consistent with Wisconsin's pattern of elevated participation in competitive gubernatorial contests. Democratic primary turnout reached 27.2 percent of the voting-age population, above recent cycles, while Republican primary engagement remained steady. These factors, alongside typical midterm dynamics and base mobilization on both sides, support trader clustering around the 2.6M-3.2M+ brackets. Limited late-cycle catalysts have yet to separate the ranges materially.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Volume
$737End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight contest between Democratic nominee David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany in this open-seat race has produced polling averages within a few points, with recent Marquette Law School data showing Crowley ahead 49-44 among likely voters and a tie among registered voters. Forecasters rate the November 3 election a toss-up or lean Democratic, consistent with Wisconsin's pattern of elevated participation in competitive gubernatorial contests. Democratic primary turnout reached 27.2 percent of the voting-age population, above recent cycles, while Republican primary engagement remained steady. These factors, alongside typical midterm dynamics and base mobilization on both sides, support trader clustering around the 2.6M-3.2M+ brackets. Limited late-cycle catalysts have yet to separate the ranges materially.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$737End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight contest between Democratic nominee David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany in this open-seat race has produced polling averages within a few points, with recent Marquette Law School data showing Crowley ahead 49-44 among likely voters and a tie among registered voters. Forecasters rate the November 3 election a toss-up or lean Democratic, consistent with Wisconsin's pattern of elevated participation in competitive gubernatorial contests. Democratic primary turnout reached 27.2 percent of the voting-age population, above recent cycles, while Republican primary engagement remained steady. These factors, alongside typical midterm dynamics and base mobilization on both sides, support trader clustering around the 2.6M-3.2M+ brackets. Limited late-cycle catalysts have yet to separate the ranges materially.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 11,000,000 and 11,500,000?
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