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Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?
Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?

Islam Makhachev 92%

Alex Pereira 2.9%

Petr Yan 2.4%

Jack Della Maddalena 1.9%

Polymarket

$688,663 Vol.

Islam Makhachev 92%

Alex Pereira 2.9%

Petr Yan 2.4%

Jack Della Maddalena 1.9%

Polymarket

$688,663 Vol.

Islam Makhachev

$2,354 Vol.

92%

Alex Pereira

$974 Vol.

3%

Petr Yan

$1,341 Vol.

2%

Jack Della Maddalena

$2,172 Vol.

2%

Ilia Topuria

$142,386 Vol.

1%

Max Holloway

$1,131 Vol.

1%

Alexander Volkanovski

$135,323 Vol.

1%

Khamzat Chimaev

$134,862 Vol.

1%

Magomed Ankalaev

$118,535 Vol.

1%

Dricus Du Plessis

$1,030 Vol.

<1%

Merab Dvalishvili

$981 Vol.

<1%

Alexandre Pantoja

$143,722 Vol.

<1%

Joshua Van

$1,310 Vol.

<1%

Arman Tsarukyan

$1,333 Vol.

<1%

Tom Aspinall

$1,209 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the fighter that is ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If, for any reason, there is no fighter ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at this market’s check-time, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Islam Makhachev holds a dominant 91.5% implied probability as the consensus pound-for-pound leader through the end of 2026, reflecting his extended reign as lightweight champion and consistent victories over elite competition in the division. Recent title defenses and stylistic matchups against high-level grapplers and strikers have reinforced trader views of his sustained edge, with limited recent losses or ranking shifts among peers supporting the pricing. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include an upset defeat in a late-2026 bout, a significant weight-class move exposing vulnerabilities, or rapid ascents by contenders like Alex Pereira or Ilia Topuria through multiple stoppage wins and divisional dominance.

This market will resolve according to the fighter that is ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

If, for any reason, there is no fighter ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at this market’s check-time, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$688,663
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the fighter that is ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If, for any reason, there is no fighter ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at this market’s check-time, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the fighter that is ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If, for any reason, there is no fighter ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at this market’s check-time, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Islam Makhachev holds a dominant 91.5% implied probability as the consensus pound-for-pound leader through the end of 2026, reflecting his extended reign as lightweight champion and consistent victories over elite competition in the division. Recent title defenses and stylistic matchups against high-level grapplers and strikers have reinforced trader views of his sustained edge, with limited recent losses or ranking shifts among peers supporting the pricing. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include an upset defeat in a late-2026 bout, a significant weight-class move exposing vulnerabilities, or rapid ascents by contenders like Alex Pereira or Ilia Topuria through multiple stoppage wins and divisional dominance.

This market will resolve according to the fighter that is ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

If, for any reason, there is no fighter ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at this market’s check-time, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$688,663
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the fighter that is ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If, for any reason, there is no fighter ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at this market’s check-time, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Islam Makhachev" at 92%, followed by "Alex Pereira" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?" has generated $688.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?" is "Islam Makhachev" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alex Pereira" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.