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Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?
Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?

Sean Strickland 58.5%

Nassourdine Imavov 20.8%

Khamzat Chimaev 14%

Dricus Du Plessis 1.8%

Polymarket

$914,613 Vol.

Sean Strickland 58.5%

Nassourdine Imavov 20.8%

Khamzat Chimaev 14%

Dricus Du Plessis 1.8%

Polymarket

$914,613 Vol.

Sean Strickland

$31,069 Vol.

58%

Nassourdine Imavov

$22,518 Vol.

21%

Khamzat Chimaev

$79,414 Vol.

14%

Dricus Du Plessis

$36,626 Vol.

2%

Brendan Allen

$166,599 Vol.

<1%

Israel Adesanya

$133,620 Vol.

<1%

Jared Cannonier

$72,586 Vol.

<1%

Anthony Hernandez

$73,475 Vol.

<1%

Caio Borralho

$166,849 Vol.

<1%

Robert Whittaker

$72,739 Vol.

<1%

Joe Pyfer

$2,427 Vol.

<1%

Reinier de Ridder

$56,692 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Sean Strickland holds the UFC middleweight title after reclaiming it via split decision over previously unbeaten Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 328 in May 2026, marking his second reign following an earlier 2023 victory and subsequent losses to Dricus du Plessis. At 35, Strickland’s defensive wrestling, jab-heavy volume, and proven resilience against elite grapplers underpin trader consensus at nearly 60% implied probability he remains champion through year-end. Nassourdine Imavov sits second at 20.6% on the strength of a five-fight win streak that includes victories over top competition, positioning him as the clearest next-title challenger despite repeated delays. Chimaev’s 14% reflects his dominant prior run and grappling pedigree even after the upset loss and calls for an immediate rematch, while du Plessis and others trail due to recent inactivity or defeats. With Strickland recovering from a shoulder injury and limited events remaining in 2026, the current titleholder’s experience and recent form anchor the market’s leading outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$914,613
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Sean Strickland holds the UFC middleweight title after reclaiming it via split decision over previously unbeaten Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 328 in May 2026, marking his second reign following an earlier 2023 victory and subsequent losses to Dricus du Plessis. At 35, Strickland’s defensive wrestling, jab-heavy volume, and proven resilience against elite grapplers underpin trader consensus at nearly 60% implied probability he remains champion through year-end. Nassourdine Imavov sits second at 20.6% on the strength of a five-fight win streak that includes victories over top competition, positioning him as the clearest next-title challenger despite repeated delays. Chimaev’s 14% reflects his dominant prior run and grappling pedigree even after the upset loss and calls for an immediate rematch, while du Plessis and others trail due to recent inactivity or defeats. With Strickland recovering from a shoulder injury and limited events remaining in 2026, the current titleholder’s experience and recent form anchor the market’s leading outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$914,613
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sean Strickland" at 58%, followed by "Nassourdine Imavov" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 58¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $914.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Sean Strickland" at 58%, meaning the market assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nassourdine Imavov" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.