Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene’s strong performance in the August 2026 top-two primary, where she secured over 53 percent against a fragmented field and advanced with Republican Mary Silva, reinforces trader consensus in this Solid Democratic district. WA-01’s northern Seattle suburbs and consistent D+15 partisan voting index have produced reliable Democratic margins in recent cycles, supported by DelBene’s 14-year incumbency, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3.5 million, and endorsements from state party leaders. The general election on November 3 faces no credible Republican threat under current conditions. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before ballots are counted.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWA-01 House Election Winner
WA-01 House Election Winner
$44,548 Vol.
$44,548 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
3%
$44,548 Vol.
$44,548 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$23,511 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$21,037 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene’s strong performance in the August 2026 top-two primary, where she secured over 53 percent against a fragmented field and advanced with Republican Mary Silva, reinforces trader consensus in this Solid Democratic district. WA-01’s northern Seattle suburbs and consistent D+15 partisan voting index have produced reliable Democratic margins in recent cycles, supported by DelBene’s 14-year incumbency, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3.5 million, and endorsements from state party leaders. The general election on November 3 faces no credible Republican threat under current conditions. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before ballots are counted.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$44,548End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene’s strong performance in the August 2026 top-two primary, where she secured over 53 percent against a fragmented field and advanced with Republican Mary Silva, reinforces trader consensus in this Solid Democratic district. WA-01’s northern Seattle suburbs and consistent D+15 partisan voting index have produced reliable Democratic margins in recent cycles, supported by DelBene’s 14-year incumbency, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3.5 million, and endorsements from state party leaders. The general election on November 3 faces no credible Republican threat under current conditions. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before ballots are counted.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$44,548End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene’s strong performance in the August 2026 top-two primary, where she secured over 53 percent against a fragmented field and advanced with Republican Mary Silva, reinforces trader consensus in this Solid Democratic district. WA-01’s northern Seattle suburbs and consistent D+15 partisan voting index have produced reliable Democratic margins in recent cycles, supported by DelBene’s 14-year incumbency, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3.5 million, and endorsements from state party leaders. The general election on November 3 faces no credible Republican threat under current conditions. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before ballots are counted.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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