The Five’s consistent performance as cable news’ top-rated program, averaging nearly 3.2 million total viewers for the week of August 17, anchors trader sentiment around the 3.25m–3.5m bracket at roughly 81% implied probability. Fox News dominated weekday primetime that period, outpacing ABC and CBS with The Five leading the network’s lineup amid routine summer news cycles and no major specials or breaking events to spike individual episodes. Historical quarterly averages in the low-to-mid 3 million range, combined with typical daily fluctuations tied to the news cycle, reinforce the market’s tight clustering near 3.2 million while leaving limited room for outliers below 3 million or above 3.75 million. Nielsen’s Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart release will confirm the highest single-episode figure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# Views of Most Viewed The Five Episode This Week (Aug 17-23)
3.25m–3.5m 98.6%
3.5m–3.75m 24%
3m–3.25m <1%
3.75m–4m <1%
$980 Vol.
$980 Vol.
<3m
No
3m–3.25m
No
3.25m–3.5m
Yes
3.5m–3.75m
No
3.75m–4m
No
4m+
No
3.25m–3.5m 98.6%
3.5m–3.75m 24%
3m–3.25m <1%
3.75m–4m <1%
$980 Vol.
$980 Vol.
<3m
No
3m–3.25m
No
3.25m–3.5m
Yes
3.5m–3.75m
No
3.75m–4m
No
4m+
No
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed episode of The Five for the Week of August 17 - August 23, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the specified show does not appear on the final chart for the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the data for the specified week is entirely unreleased by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve according to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, or if only some episodes of The Five appear on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#televisionResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed episode of The Five for the Week of August 17 - August 23, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the specified show does not appear on the final chart for the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the data for the specified week is entirely unreleased by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve according to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, or if only some episodes of The Five appear on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
Resolution Source
https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#televisionResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The Five’s consistent performance as cable news’ top-rated program, averaging nearly 3.2 million total viewers for the week of August 17, anchors trader sentiment around the 3.25m–3.5m bracket at roughly 81% implied probability. Fox News dominated weekday primetime that period, outpacing ABC and CBS with The Five leading the network’s lineup amid routine summer news cycles and no major specials or breaking events to spike individual episodes. Historical quarterly averages in the low-to-mid 3 million range, combined with typical daily fluctuations tied to the news cycle, reinforce the market’s tight clustering near 3.2 million while leaving limited room for outliers below 3 million or above 3.75 million. Nielsen’s Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart release will confirm the highest single-episode figure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions