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Sports·Mma

UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?

icon for UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?
Sports·Mma

UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?

Arman Tsarukyan 16.7%

Justin Gaethje 7.4%

Paddy Pimblett 5.8%

Ilia Topuria 4.9%

Polymarket

$185,267 Vol.

Arman Tsarukyan 16.7%

Justin Gaethje 7.4%

Paddy Pimblett 5.8%

Ilia Topuria 4.9%

Polymarket

$185,267 Vol.

Arman Tsarukyan

$8,574 Vol.

17%

Justin Gaethje

$5,805 Vol.

7%

Paddy Pimblett

$5,160 Vol.

6%

Ilia Topuria

$2,189 Vol.

5%

Benoît Saint Denis

$2,018 Vol.

3%

Maurício Ruffy

$107,931 Vol.

1%

Dan Hooker

$10,809 Vol.

<1%

Mateusz Gamrot

$36,260 Vol.

<1%

Islam Makhachev

$1,648 Vol.

<1%

Conor McGregor

$4,873 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Charles Oliveira's recent unanimous decision victory over Max Holloway for the BMF title at UFC 326 has positioned the former lightweight champion for a high-profile return, yet no bout is officially booked as of late August 2026. This leaves a crowded division where Arman Tsarukyan leads implied probabilities at 16.8% thanks to his No. 2 ranking, prior split-decision win over Oliveira, and ongoing calls for title contention. Justin Gaethje follows at 7.4% as the current undisputed champion coming off a recent defense, while names like Paddy Pimblett and Ilia Topuria reflect Oliveira's preference for fan-friendly or stylistic matchups. The broad spread underscores multiple viable paths, including potential Brazil events or rematches, with outcomes hinging on UFC matchmaking priorities and fighter availability.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$185,267
End Date
Mar 1, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 6, 2026, 7:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Charles Oliveira's recent unanimous decision victory over Max Holloway for the BMF title at UFC 326 has positioned the former lightweight champion for a high-profile return, yet no bout is officially booked as of late August 2026. This leaves a crowded division where Arman Tsarukyan leads implied probabilities at 16.8% thanks to his No. 2 ranking, prior split-decision win over Oliveira, and ongoing calls for title contention. Justin Gaethje follows at 7.4% as the current undisputed champion coming off a recent defense, while names like Paddy Pimblett and Ilia Topuria reflect Oliveira's preference for fan-friendly or stylistic matchups. The broad spread underscores multiple viable paths, including potential Brazil events or rematches, with outcomes hinging on UFC matchmaking priorities and fighter availability.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$185,267
End Date
Mar 1, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 6, 2026, 7:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Arman Tsarukyan" at 17%, followed by "Justin Gaethje" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?" has generated $185.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?" is "Arman Tsarukyan" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Justin Gaethje" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.