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Politics·Mexico

Tlaxcala Governor Election Winner

icon for Tlaxcala Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Tlaxcala Governor Election Winner

Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera 64.7%

Alfonso Sánchez García 18%

Floria María Hernández Hernández 3.5%

Danae Figueroa 1.3%

Polymarket

$42,585 Vol.

Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera 64.7%

Alfonso Sánchez García 18%

Floria María Hernández Hernández 3.5%

Danae Figueroa 1.3%

Polymarket

$42,585 Vol.

icon for Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera

Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera

$4,093 Vol.

65%

icon for Alfonso Sánchez García

Alfonso Sánchez García

$15,646 Vol.

18%

icon for Floria María Hernández Hernández

Floria María Hernández Hernández

$2,847 Vol.

3%

icon for Danae Figueroa

Danae Figueroa

$6,684 Vol.

1%

icon for Concepción Sánchez González

Concepción Sánchez González

$3,100 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vicente Emilio Ponce Cano

Vicente Emilio Ponce Cano

$1,288 Vol.

<1%

icon for Héctor Bernardo Paredes Mora

Héctor Bernardo Paredes Mora

$613 Vol.

<1%

icon for Irma Yordana Garay Loredo

Irma Yordana Garay Loredo

$1,630 Vol.

<1%

icon for Anabell Ávalos Zempoalteca

Anabell Ávalos Zempoalteca

$1,970 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adriana Dávila Fernández

Adriana Dávila Fernández

$209 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Augusto Pérez Hernández

Carlos Augusto Pérez Hernández

$2,860 Vol.

<1%

icon for Raymundo Vázquez Conchas

Raymundo Vázquez Conchas

$493 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Salvador Santos Cedillo

Juan Salvador Santos Cedillo

$1,246 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tlaxcala on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tlaxcala and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Tlaxcala and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.**Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera leads the Tlaxcala gubernatorial market at 64.6% implied probability, well ahead of Alfonso Sánchez García at 18% and lower-profile opposition or minor Morena aspirants.** The June 6, 2027 election remains more than nine months away, with the decisive early contest occurring inside Morena, the dominant party holding roughly 38–46% statewide preference in mid-2026 surveys. Rivera, a senator with license and former Senate president, benefits from national-level backing within the party and consistent leads in internal preference polling (29–46% range). Sánchez García, the Tlaxcala municipal president backed by incumbent governor Lorena Cuéllar, trails as the main rival. Morena’s structural advantage in the state, combined with Rivera’s higher name recognition and poll positioning, drives trader consensus that the eventual Morena nominee will win the general election. Opposition candidates from PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano register in single digits or lower, reflecting limited viability. The nomination process—narrowing from 11 registered aspirants to surveys—continues without a final selection, leaving room for shifts if internal dynamics change before year-end.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tlaxcala on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tlaxcala and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Tlaxcala and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$42,585
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 6:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tlaxcala on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tlaxcala and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Tlaxcala and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tlaxcala on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tlaxcala and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Tlaxcala and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.**Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera leads the Tlaxcala gubernatorial market at 64.6% implied probability, well ahead of Alfonso Sánchez García at 18% and lower-profile opposition or minor Morena aspirants.** The June 6, 2027 election remains more than nine months away, with the decisive early contest occurring inside Morena, the dominant party holding roughly 38–46% statewide preference in mid-2026 surveys. Rivera, a senator with license and former Senate president, benefits from national-level backing within the party and consistent leads in internal preference polling (29–46% range). Sánchez García, the Tlaxcala municipal president backed by incumbent governor Lorena Cuéllar, trails as the main rival. Morena’s structural advantage in the state, combined with Rivera’s higher name recognition and poll positioning, drives trader consensus that the eventual Morena nominee will win the general election. Opposition candidates from PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano register in single digits or lower, reflecting limited viability. The nomination process—narrowing from 11 registered aspirants to surveys—continues without a final selection, leaving room for shifts if internal dynamics change before year-end.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tlaxcala on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tlaxcala and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Tlaxcala and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$42,585
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 6:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tlaxcala on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tlaxcala and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Tlaxcala and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Tlaxcala Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera" at 65%, followed by "Alfonso Sánchez García" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Tlaxcala Governor Election Winner" has generated $42.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Tlaxcala Governor Election Winner," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Tlaxcala Governor Election Winner" is "Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alfonso Sánchez García" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Tlaxcala Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.