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Politics·Mexico

Michoacán Governor Election Winner

icon for Michoacán Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Michoacán Governor Election Winner

Grecia Quiroz 29.6%

Carlos Torres Piña 25.5%

Carlos Herrera Tello 8.2%

Fabiola Alanís Sámano 7%

Polymarket

$12,673 Vol.

Grecia Quiroz 29.6%

Carlos Torres Piña 25.5%

Carlos Herrera Tello 8.2%

Fabiola Alanís Sámano 7%

Polymarket

$12,673 Vol.

icon for Grecia Quiroz

Grecia Quiroz

$2,148 Vol.

30%

icon for Carlos Torres Piña

Carlos Torres Piña

$4,200 Vol.

26%

icon for Carlos Herrera Tello

Carlos Herrera Tello

$208 Vol.

8%

icon for Fabiola Alanís Sámano

Fabiola Alanís Sámano

$2,175 Vol.

7%

icon for Marko Cortés Mendoza

Marko Cortés Mendoza

$249 Vol.

6%

icon for Germán Martínez Cázares

Germán Martínez Cázares

$214 Vol.

5%

icon for Esteban González Nava

Esteban González Nava

$180 Vol.

4%

icon for Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna

Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna

$225 Vol.

4%

icon for Edna Martínez Nambo

Edna Martínez Nambo

$226 Vol.

3%

icon for Alfonso Martínez Alcázar

Alfonso Martínez Alcázar

$212 Vol.

3%

icon for Daniela de los Santos

Daniela de los Santos

$216 Vol.

3%

icon for Raúl Morón Orozco

Raúl Morón Orozco

$233 Vol.

2%

icon for Guillermo Valencia Reyes

Guillermo Valencia Reyes

$203 Vol.

2%

icon for Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz

Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz

$207 Vol.

1%

icon for Adriana Hernández Íñiguez

Adriana Hernández Íñiguez

$207 Vol.

1%

icon for Gabriela Molina Aguilar

Gabriela Molina Aguilar

$193 Vol.

1%

icon for Víctor Manuel Manríquez

Víctor Manuel Manríquez

$201 Vol.

1%

icon for Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza

Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza

$201 Vol.

1%

icon for Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes

Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes

$211 Vol.

1%

icon for Gladyz Butanda Macías

Gladyz Butanda Macías

$272 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ernesto Núñez Aguilar

Ernesto Núñez Aguilar

$281 Vol.

<1%

icon for Celeste Ascencio Ortega

Celeste Ascencio Ortega

$209 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Recent polling shows Morena maintaining a substantial lead in party preference for the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial election, while internal competition among its aspirants remains fluid. Carlos Torres Piña frequently tops Morena preference surveys, ahead of Raúl Morón Orozco and Fabiola Alanís Sámano, yet head-to-head matchups place independent-leaning Grecia Quiroz within striking distance or ahead in some scenarios. This positioning, combined with high undecided shares and ongoing Senate or party nomination processes, sustains tight implied probabilities across leading names. A late August Supreme Court postponement on electoral reforms affecting independent candidacies adds further uncertainty, as resolution timelines and final nominee selections could shift voter alignments before the contest clarifies.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$12,673
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Recent polling shows Morena maintaining a substantial lead in party preference for the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial election, while internal competition among its aspirants remains fluid. Carlos Torres Piña frequently tops Morena preference surveys, ahead of Raúl Morón Orozco and Fabiola Alanís Sámano, yet head-to-head matchups place independent-leaning Grecia Quiroz within striking distance or ahead in some scenarios. This positioning, combined with high undecided shares and ongoing Senate or party nomination processes, sustains tight implied probabilities across leading names. A late August Supreme Court postponement on electoral reforms affecting independent candidacies adds further uncertainty, as resolution timelines and final nominee selections could shift voter alignments before the contest clarifies.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$12,673
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Michoacán Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Grecia Quiroz" at 30%, followed by "Carlos Torres Piña" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Michoacán Governor Election Winner" has generated $12.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Michoacán Governor Election Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Michoacán Governor Election Winner" is "Grecia Quiroz" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Carlos Torres Piña" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Michoacán Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.