Russia's State Duma election, scheduled over three days from September 18–20, 2026, features expanded remote electronic voting with more than 1.5 million applications already submitted alongside traditional polling. The Kremlin has quietly lowered its internal turnout and United Russia vote-share targets amid fuel shortages, infrastructure disruptions, and cross-border strikes that have weighed on public sentiment and reduced state media coverage of the race. Multiple days of voting and diaspora participation options in select countries support moderate engagement, yet polls reflect declining enthusiasm tied to wartime conditions. These factors sustain tight trader ranges clustered between 50–56 percent, where modest shifts in mobilization efforts, weather, or last-minute regional turnout drives could separate leading outcomes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
53-56% 31.4%
50-53% 27%
47-50% 13%
59-62% 11.2%
$53,387 Vol.
$53,387 Vol.
<47%
1%
47-50%
13%
50-53%
27%
53-56%
31%
56-59%
9%
59-62%
11%
62%+
10%
53-56% 31.4%
50-53% 27%
47-50% 13%
59-62% 11.2%
$53,387 Vol.
$53,387 Vol.
<47%
1%
47-50%
13%
50-53%
27%
53-56%
31%
56-59%
9%
59-62%
11%
62%+
10%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Russia's State Duma election, scheduled over three days from September 18–20, 2026, features expanded remote electronic voting with more than 1.5 million applications already submitted alongside traditional polling. The Kremlin has quietly lowered its internal turnout and United Russia vote-share targets amid fuel shortages, infrastructure disruptions, and cross-border strikes that have weighed on public sentiment and reduced state media coverage of the race. Multiple days of voting and diaspora participation options in select countries support moderate engagement, yet polls reflect declining enthusiasm tied to wartime conditions. These factors sustain tight trader ranges clustered between 50–56 percent, where modest shifts in mobilization efforts, weather, or last-minute regional turnout drives could separate leading outcomes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions