Russia's September 2026 State Duma election features a three-day voting window and expanded remote electronic voting across 33 regions covering roughly 48 million eligible voters, alongside administrative mobilization of public-sector employees and students. Kremlin guidance has held the turnout target near 50 percent even as United Russia vote-share expectations were adjusted downward, reflecting efforts to project legitimacy amid polls showing mixed voter intent and limited enthusiasm tied to the ongoing conflict. Historical precedent around 50-55 percent, combined with unverifiable electronic mechanisms and regional performance pressures, keeps trader probabilities clustered tightly between the 50-56 percent brackets. Separation could arise from the scale of coercion reports, final electronic participation rates, or any last-minute adjustments in occupied territories before the September 18-20 balloting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
53-56% 30.6%
50-53% 27%
47-50% 13%
59-62% 11.2%
$53,387 Vol.
$53,387 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
<47%
1%
47-50%
13%
50-53%
27%
53-56%
31%
56-59%
9%
59-62%
11%
62%+
10%
53-56% 30.6%
50-53% 27%
47-50% 13%
59-62% 11.2%
$53,387 Vol.
$53,387 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
<47%
$2,301 Vol.
1%
47-50%
$6,437 Vol.
13%
50-53%
$5,349 Vol.
27%
53-56%
$3,318 Vol.
31%
56-59%
$6,220 Vol.
9%
59-62%
$5,236 Vol.
11%
62%+
$24,527 Vol.
10%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia's September 2026 State Duma election features a three-day voting window and expanded remote electronic voting across 33 regions covering roughly 48 million eligible voters, alongside administrative mobilization of public-sector employees and students. Kremlin guidance has held the turnout target near 50 percent even as United Russia vote-share expectations were adjusted downward, reflecting efforts to project legitimacy amid polls showing mixed voter intent and limited enthusiasm tied to the ongoing conflict. Historical precedent around 50-55 percent, combined with unverifiable electronic mechanisms and regional performance pressures, keeps trader probabilities clustered tightly between the 50-56 percent brackets. Separation could arise from the scale of coercion reports, final electronic participation rates, or any last-minute adjustments in occupied territories before the September 18-20 balloting.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Volume
$53,387End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia's September 2026 State Duma election features a three-day voting window and expanded remote electronic voting across 33 regions covering roughly 48 million eligible voters, alongside administrative mobilization of public-sector employees and students. Kremlin guidance has held the turnout target near 50 percent even as United Russia vote-share expectations were adjusted downward, reflecting efforts to project legitimacy amid polls showing mixed voter intent and limited enthusiasm tied to the ongoing conflict. Historical precedent around 50-55 percent, combined with unverifiable electronic mechanisms and regional performance pressures, keeps trader probabilities clustered tightly between the 50-56 percent brackets. Separation could arise from the scale of coercion reports, final electronic participation rates, or any last-minute adjustments in occupied territories before the September 18-20 balloting.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volume
$53,387End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Russia's September 2026 State Duma election features a three-day voting window and expanded remote electronic voting across 33 regions covering roughly 48 million eligible voters, alongside administrative mobilization of public-sector employees and students. Kremlin guidance has held the turnout target near 50 percent even as United Russia vote-share expectations were adjusted downward, reflecting efforts to project legitimacy amid polls showing mixed voter intent and limited enthusiasm tied to the ongoing conflict. Historical precedent around 50-55 percent, combined with unverifiable electronic mechanisms and regional performance pressures, keeps trader probabilities clustered tightly between the 50-56 percent brackets. Separation could arise from the scale of coercion reports, final electronic participation rates, or any last-minute adjustments in occupied territories before the September 18-20 balloting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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