Palantir's post-Q2 earnings momentum, with 93% revenue growth to $1.94 billion and an upward revision to 82% full-year 2026 guidance, underpins the tight contest between the 31% probability for an $180–182 close and the 30.5% chance of finishing below $170. Explosive U.S. commercial expansion and AI platform adoption have fueled a 43% rally since early August, yet elevated valuations near 152 times trailing earnings, rising Treasury yields, and profit-taking—including a $27 million ARK sale—introduce downside pressure. Analyst targets near $192 reflect institutional confidence in sustained growth, but near-term trader consensus prices in volatility around the current $176 level amid these offsetting forces.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<$170 39%
>$188 14%
$186-$188 12.0%
$170-$172 10%
<$170
32%
$170-$172
10%
$172-$174
10%
$174-$176
10%
$176-$178
10%
$178-$180
10%
$180-$182
10%
$182-$184
9%
$184-$186
9%
$186-$188
12%
>$188
14%
<$170 39%
>$188 14%
$186-$188 12.0%
$170-$172 10%
<$170
32%
$170-$172
10%
$172-$174
10%
$174-$176
10%
$176-$178
10%
$178-$180
10%
$180-$182
10%
$182-$184
9%
$184-$186
9%
$186-$188
12%
>$188
14%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Palantir's post-Q2 earnings momentum, with 93% revenue growth to $1.94 billion and an upward revision to 82% full-year 2026 guidance, underpins the tight contest between the 31% probability for an $180–182 close and the 30.5% chance of finishing below $170. Explosive U.S. commercial expansion and AI platform adoption have fueled a 43% rally since early August, yet elevated valuations near 152 times trailing earnings, rising Treasury yields, and profit-taking—including a $27 million ARK sale—introduce downside pressure. Analyst targets near $192 reflect institutional confidence in sustained growth, but near-term trader consensus prices in volatility around the current $176 level amid these offsetting forces.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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